1 | package agents.anac.y2011.Gahboninho;
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2 |
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3 | import java.util.ArrayList;
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4 | import java.util.HashMap;
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5 | import java.util.Iterator;
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6 | import java.util.Map.Entry;
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7 |
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8 | import genius.core.Bid;
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9 | import genius.core.issue.ISSUETYPE;
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10 | import genius.core.issue.Issue;
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11 | import genius.core.issue.IssueDiscrete;
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12 | import genius.core.issue.IssueInteger;
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13 | import genius.core.issue.IssueReal;
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14 | import genius.core.issue.Value;
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15 | import genius.core.issue.ValueDiscrete;
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16 | import genius.core.issue.ValueInteger;
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17 | import genius.core.issue.ValueReal;
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18 | import genius.core.timeline.TimeLineInfo;
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19 | import genius.core.utility.AdditiveUtilitySpace;
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20 |
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21 | import java.util.Random;
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22 | import java.util.TreeMap;
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23 |
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24 | public class IssueManager {
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25 | // world state :
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26 | TimeLineInfo T;
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27 | AdditiveUtilitySpace US;
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28 | int TotalBiddingPossibilities; // amount of all possible bidsd
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29 | // oponent properties :
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30 | Bid OpponentBestBid; // the first bid opponent gave us
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31 | double MyUtilityOnOpponentBestBid = 0;
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32 | double Noise = 0.4; // 0 to 1 - Tells us how varied the opponent's bids are,
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33 | // lately
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34 | // My State:
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35 | double NextOfferUtility = 1;
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36 | boolean FirstOfferGiven = false;
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37 | TreeMap<Double, Bid> Bids;
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38 | HashMap<Issue, ArrayList<Value>> relevantValuesPerIssue = new HashMap<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>();
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39 | Bid maxBid = null;
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40 | final int PlayerCount = 8; // if player count is 10, then we
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41 | OpponnentModel OM;
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42 |
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43 | private final boolean TEST_EQUIVALENCE = false;
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44 |
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45 | private Random random100;
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46 | private Random random200;
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47 | private Random random300;
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48 | private Random random400;
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49 |
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50 | boolean InFrenzy = false;
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51 |
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52 | public Bid GetMaxBidWithNoCost() throws Exception {
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53 | Bid maxBid = this.US.getDomain().getRandomBid(random100);
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54 | Bid justBidding = this.US.getDomain().getRandomBid(random100);
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55 |
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56 | for (Issue issue : this.US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
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57 | double tmpUtil;
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58 | double maxUtil = 0;
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59 | int maxUtilValIndex = 0;
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60 |
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61 | switch (issue.getType()) {
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62 |
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63 | case INTEGER:
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64 |
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65 | IssueInteger integerIssue = (IssueInteger) issue;
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66 |
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67 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getUpperBound()));
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68 | maxUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
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69 |
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70 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getLowerBound()));
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71 | tmpUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
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72 |
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73 | if (maxUtil > tmpUtil)
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74 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getUpperBound()));
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75 | else
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76 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getLowerBound()));
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77 |
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78 | break;
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79 |
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80 | case REAL:
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81 |
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82 | IssueReal realIssue = (IssueReal) issue;
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83 |
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84 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getUpperBound()));
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85 | maxUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
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86 |
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87 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getLowerBound()));
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88 | tmpUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
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89 |
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90 | if (maxUtil > tmpUtil)
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91 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getUpperBound()));
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92 | else
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93 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getLowerBound()));
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94 |
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95 | break;
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96 | case DISCRETE:
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97 | IssueDiscrete discreteIssue = (IssueDiscrete) issue;
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98 | int size = discreteIssue.getNumberOfValues();
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99 | for (int i = 0; i < size; i++) {
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100 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), discreteIssue.getValue(i));
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101 | tmpUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
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102 | if (tmpUtil > maxUtil) {
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103 | maxUtilValIndex = i;
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104 | maxUtil = tmpUtil;
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105 | }
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106 | }
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107 |
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108 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), discreteIssue.getValue(maxUtilValIndex));
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109 | break;
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110 | }
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111 | }
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112 |
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113 | return maxBid;
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114 | }
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115 |
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116 | // fill utility-to-bid map here:
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117 | public IssueManager(AdditiveUtilitySpace US, TimeLineInfo T, OpponnentModel om) {
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118 | if (TEST_EQUIVALENCE) {
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119 | random100 = new Random(100);
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120 | random200 = new Random(200);
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121 | random300 = new Random(300);
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122 | random400 = new Random(400);
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123 | } else {
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124 | random100 = new Random();
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125 | random200 = new Random();
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126 | random300 = new Random();
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127 | random400 = new Random();
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128 | }
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129 |
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130 | this.T = T;
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131 | this.US = US;
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132 | this.OM = om;
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133 | try {
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134 | maxBid = GetMaxBidWithNoCost(); // try sparing the brute force
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135 | double maxBidUtil = US.getUtility(maxBid);
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136 | if (maxBidUtil == 0) // in case cost comes into play
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137 | this.maxBid = this.US.getMaxUtilityBid(); // use only if the
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138 | // simpler function
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139 | // won't work
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140 |
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141 | } catch (Exception e) {
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142 | try {
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143 | this.maxBid = this.US.getMaxUtilityBid();
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144 | } catch (Exception e2) {
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145 | }
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146 | }
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147 |
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148 | Bids = new TreeMap<Double, Bid>();
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149 |
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150 | for (int i = 0; i < US.getDomain().getIssues().size(); ++i) {
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151 | Issue I = (Issue) US.getDomain().getIssues().get(i);
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152 | if (I.getType() == ISSUETYPE.DISCRETE) {
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153 | IssueDiscrete ID = (IssueDiscrete) I;
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154 |
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155 | DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.put(ID.getNumber(), ID.getNumberOfValues());
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156 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(ID.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
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157 | } else if (I.getType() == ISSUETYPE.REAL) {
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158 | DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), (int) DiscretisationSteps);
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159 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
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160 | } else if (I.getType() == ISSUETYPE.INTEGER) {
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161 | IssueInteger II = (IssueInteger) I;
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162 | DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(),
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163 | Math.min((int) DiscretisationSteps, II.getUpperBound() - II.getLowerBound() + 1));
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164 |
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165 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
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166 | }
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167 | }
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168 | ClearIncommingStatistics();
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169 | }
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170 |
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171 | void ClearIncommingStatistics() {
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172 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues())
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173 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
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174 |
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175 | }
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176 |
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177 | public Bid getMaxBid() {
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178 | return maxBid;
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179 | }
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180 |
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181 | public double GetDiscountFactor() {
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182 | if (US.getDiscountFactor() <= 0.001 || US.getDiscountFactor() > 1)
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183 | return 1;
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184 | return US.getDiscountFactor();
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185 | }
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186 |
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187 | private void addPossibleValue(Issue issue, Value val) {
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188 | if (!this.relevantValuesPerIssue.containsKey(issue)) {
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189 | this.relevantValuesPerIssue.put(issue, new ArrayList<Value>());
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190 | }
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191 |
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192 | int randIndex = 0;
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193 | if (this.relevantValuesPerIssue.get(issue).size() > 0)
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194 | randIndex = Math.abs(random200.nextInt()) % this.relevantValuesPerIssue.get(issue).size();
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195 | this.relevantValuesPerIssue.get(issue).add(randIndex, val);
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196 | }
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197 |
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198 | final double DiscretisationSteps = 20; // minimum 2
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199 |
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200 | private void buildIssueValues(Bid firstOppBid) throws Exception {
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201 |
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202 | Bid justBidding = this.US.getDomain().getRandomBid(random300);
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203 |
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204 | for (Issue issue : this.US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
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205 | int AddedValues = 0;
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206 |
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207 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), firstOppBid.getValue(issue.getNumber()));
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208 | double utilityWithOpp = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
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209 |
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210 | switch (issue.getType()) {
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211 | case INTEGER:
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212 | IssueInteger intIssue = (IssueInteger) issue;
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213 |
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214 | int iStep;
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215 | int totalSteps = (int) Math.min(DiscretisationSteps - 1,
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216 | intIssue.getUpperBound() - intIssue.getLowerBound());
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217 | iStep = Math.max(1, (int) ((intIssue.getUpperBound() - intIssue.getLowerBound()) / totalSteps));
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218 |
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219 | for (int i = intIssue.getLowerBound(); i <= intIssue.getUpperBound(); i += iStep) {
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220 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(i));
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221 | double utilityWithCurrent = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
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222 |
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223 | // Only see it as a possible value if it is better for us
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224 | // than the opponent offer
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225 | if (utilityWithCurrent >= utilityWithOpp) {
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226 | this.addPossibleValue(issue, new ValueInteger(i));
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227 | }
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228 | }
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229 |
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230 | AddedValues += Math.abs(intIssue.getUpperBound() - intIssue.getLowerBound());
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231 | break;
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232 | case REAL:
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233 |
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234 | IssueReal realIssue = (IssueReal) issue;
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235 | double oneStep = (realIssue.getUpperBound() - realIssue.getLowerBound()) / (DiscretisationSteps - 1);
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236 | for (double curr = realIssue.getLowerBound(); curr <= realIssue.getUpperBound(); curr += oneStep) {
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237 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(curr));
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238 | double utilityWithCurrent = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
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239 | // Only see it as a possible value if it is better for us
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240 | // than the opponent offer
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241 | if (utilityWithCurrent >= utilityWithOpp) {
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242 | this.addPossibleValue(issue, new ValueReal(curr));
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243 | AddedValues += 1000;
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244 | }
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245 | }
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246 |
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247 | break;
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248 | case DISCRETE:
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249 | IssueDiscrete discreteIssue = (IssueDiscrete) issue;
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250 | int size = discreteIssue.getNumberOfValues();
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251 | for (int i = 0; i < size; i++) {
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252 | ValueDiscrete curr = discreteIssue.getValue(i);
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253 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), curr);
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254 | double utilityWithCurrent = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
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255 | // Only see it as a possible value if it is better for us
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256 | // than the opponent offer
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257 | if (utilityWithCurrent >= utilityWithOpp) {
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258 | this.addPossibleValue(issue, curr);
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259 | AddedValues += 1;
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260 | }
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261 |
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262 | }
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263 | break;
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264 | }
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265 |
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266 | EffectiveDomainBids *= AddedValues;
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267 | }
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268 | }
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269 |
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270 | Double BidsCreationTime = 0.0;
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271 | double EffectiveDomainBids = 1;
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272 |
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273 | public void learnBids(Bid firstOppBid) throws Exception {
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274 | this.buildIssueValues(firstOppBid);
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275 |
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276 | double startTime = T.getTime();
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277 |
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278 | // very hard to deal with hash map, so copy it to arraylist:
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279 | Iterator<Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>> MyIssueIterator = relevantValuesPerIssue.entrySet().iterator();
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280 | while (MyIssueIterator.hasNext())
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281 | IssueEntries.add(MyIssueIterator.next());
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282 |
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283 | // if there is a discount factor, don't take your time searching for
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284 | // bids
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285 | BuildBid(new HashMap<Integer, Value>(), 0, 0.05 * Math.pow(GetDiscountFactor(), 0.6) + startTime);
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286 | BidsCreationTime = T.getTime() - startTime;
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287 |
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288 | // if there are about 5000 turns for the opponent, I expect him to be
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289 | // able to
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290 | // give a good bid every few turns
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291 | NoiseDecreaseRate = 0.01 * EffectiveDomainBids / (400);
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292 | NoiseDecreaseRate = Math.min(0.015, NoiseDecreaseRate); // beware of a
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293 | // too large
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294 | // rate
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295 | NoiseDecreaseRate = Math.max(0.003, NoiseDecreaseRate);
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296 |
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297 | }
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298 |
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299 | private ArrayList<Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>> IssueEntries = new ArrayList<Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>>();
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300 |
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301 | int UtilityCollisionsLeft = 200000;
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302 |
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303 | private void BuildBid(HashMap<Integer, Value> B, int EntrySetIndex, double EndTime) {
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304 | // TODO : build only bids with at least X util.
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305 | // after some time, when we need lower utilities, re-build bid map, only
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306 | // this time consider
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307 | // opponent's preferences: just build a method that tells us if one bid
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308 | // is preferrable (from opponent's point of view)
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309 | // and if the less preferable one gives us less utility than the other
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310 | // bid, simply remove the bid from map
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311 |
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312 | if (T.getTime() < EndTime) {
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313 | if (EntrySetIndex < IssueEntries.size()) {
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314 | Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>> currentEntry = IssueEntries.get(EntrySetIndex);
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315 | for (Value v : currentEntry.getValue()) {
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316 | B.put(currentEntry.getKey().getNumber(), v);
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317 | BuildBid(B, EntrySetIndex + 1, EndTime);
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318 | }
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319 | } else {
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320 | try {
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321 |
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322 | Bid newBid = new Bid(US.getDomain(), new HashMap<Integer, Value>(B));
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323 |
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324 | double BidUtil = US.getUtility(newBid);
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325 |
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326 | while (UtilityCollisionsLeft > 0 && Bids.containsKey(BidUtil)) {
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327 | --UtilityCollisionsLeft;
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328 | BidUtil -= 0.002 / (random400.nextInt() % 9999999);
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329 | }
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330 |
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331 | Bids.put(BidUtil, newBid);
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332 | } catch (Exception e) {
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333 | e.printStackTrace();
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334 | }
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335 | }
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336 |
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337 | }
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338 | }
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339 |
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340 | public double CompromosingFactor = 0.95;
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341 | // returns the minimum utility we want in the next offer we send
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342 |
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343 | double TimeDiffStart = -1;
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344 | double TimeDiffEnd = -1;
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345 | double RoundCountBeforePanic = 1;
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346 |
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347 | double PrevRecommendation = 1;
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348 | double MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.0009;
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349 |
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350 | public double GetNextRecommendedOfferUtility() {
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351 | if (FirstOfferGiven == false) {
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352 | FirstOfferGiven = true;
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353 | return 1;
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354 | }
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355 |
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356 | double Time = T.getTime();
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357 | double Min = Math.pow(GetDiscountFactor(), 2 * Time);
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358 | double Max = Min * (1 + 6 * Noise * Math.pow(GetDiscountFactor(), 5));
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359 |
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360 | if (Time < 0.85 * GetDiscountFactor())
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361 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.9125);
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362 | else if (Time <= 0.92 * GetDiscountFactor()) {
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363 | CompromosingFactor = 0.94;
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364 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.84); // never ever accept
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365 | // an offer with
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366 | // less than that
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367 | // utility
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368 |
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369 | Max /= Min; // slow down the decreasing
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370 |
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371 | } else if (Time <= 0.94 * GetDiscountFactor()) {
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372 | CompromosingFactor = 0.93;
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373 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.775);
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374 | Max /= Min;
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375 | } else if (Time <= 0.985 * Min && (BestEverOpponentBidUtil <= 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount) || // never
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376 | // accept
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377 | // an
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378 | // offer
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379 | // with
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380 | // less
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381 | // utility
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382 | // than
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383 | // that
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384 | Time <= (1 - 3 * (TimeDiffEnd - TimeDiffStart) / RoundCountBeforePanic))) {
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385 | CompromosingFactor = 0.91;
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386 | MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.001;
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387 |
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388 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.7);
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389 | Max /= Min;
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390 |
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391 | TimeDiffEnd = TimeDiffStart = Time;
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392 | } else if (Time <= 0.9996 && (BestEverOpponentBidUtil <= 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount) || // never
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393 | // accept
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394 | // an
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395 | // offer
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396 | // with
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397 | // less
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398 | // utility
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399 | // than
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400 | // that
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401 | Time <= (1 - 3 * (TimeDiffEnd - TimeDiffStart) / RoundCountBeforePanic))) // until
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402 | // last
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403 | // few
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404 | // rounds
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405 | {
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406 | TimeDiffEnd = Time;
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407 | ++RoundCountBeforePanic;
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408 |
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409 | MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.001 + 0.01 * (Time - 0.985) / (0.015);
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410 |
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411 | // MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.0018;
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412 | // MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.0009;
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413 |
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414 | if (3 * (1.0 / PlayerCount) > BestEverOpponentBidUtil) {
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415 | Min *= 3.5 * (1.0 / PlayerCount);
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416 | CompromosingFactor = 0.8;
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417 | } else {
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418 | Min *= BestEverOpponentBidUtil;
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419 | CompromosingFactor = 0.95;
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420 | }
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421 |
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422 | Max /= Min;
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423 | } else {
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424 |
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425 | CompromosingFactor = 0.92;
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426 |
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427 | // as low as I can go!
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428 | if (BestEverOpponentBidUtil < 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount)) {
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429 | Min = 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount); // 0.25 if 8 players
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430 | Max = 1;
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431 | } else {
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432 | Max = Min = BestEverOpponentBidUtil;
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433 | InFrenzy = true;
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434 | }
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435 | MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 1;
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436 | }
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437 |
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438 | // the more eager the opponent is to settle, the slower we give up our
|
---|
439 | // utility.
|
---|
440 | // the higher the discount factor loss, the faster we give it up
|
---|
441 |
|
---|
442 | Max = Math.max(Max, Min);
|
---|
443 | NextOfferUtility = Math.min(1, Max - (Max - Min) * T.getTime());
|
---|
444 |
|
---|
445 | // slow down the change:
|
---|
446 | if (NextOfferUtility + MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate < PrevRecommendation)
|
---|
447 | NextOfferUtility = PrevRecommendation - MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate;
|
---|
448 | else if (NextOfferUtility - 0.005 > PrevRecommendation)
|
---|
449 | NextOfferUtility = PrevRecommendation + 0.005;
|
---|
450 |
|
---|
451 | PrevRecommendation = NextOfferUtility;
|
---|
452 | return NextOfferUtility;
|
---|
453 | }
|
---|
454 |
|
---|
455 | public double GetMinimumUtilityToAccept() // changes over time
|
---|
456 | {
|
---|
457 | double util1 = CompromosingFactor;
|
---|
458 | double util2 = GetNextRecommendedOfferUtility();
|
---|
459 | return util1 * util2;
|
---|
460 | }
|
---|
461 |
|
---|
462 | int CountdownToNoiseReestimation;
|
---|
463 |
|
---|
464 | String EstimateValue(Issue I, Value v) throws Exception {
|
---|
465 | switch (I.getType()) {
|
---|
466 | case DISCRETE:
|
---|
467 | ValueDiscrete DV = (ValueDiscrete) v;
|
---|
468 | return DV.getValue();
|
---|
469 | case INTEGER:
|
---|
470 | int ValueIndex = 0;
|
---|
471 | IssueInteger II = (IssueInteger) I;
|
---|
472 | ValueInteger IV = (ValueInteger) v;
|
---|
473 | double Step = II.getUpperBound() - II.getLowerBound();
|
---|
474 | if (Step != 0) {
|
---|
475 | int totalSteps = (int) Math.min(DiscretisationSteps, II.getUpperBound() - II.getLowerBound() + 1);
|
---|
476 | Step /= totalSteps;
|
---|
477 | ValueIndex = (int) (IV.getValue() / Step);
|
---|
478 | }
|
---|
479 | return String.valueOf(ValueIndex);
|
---|
480 | case REAL:
|
---|
481 | IssueReal RI = (IssueReal) I;
|
---|
482 | ValueReal RV = (ValueReal) v;
|
---|
483 | double StepR = RI.getUpperBound() - RI.getLowerBound();
|
---|
484 | ValueIndex = 0;
|
---|
485 | if (StepR != 0) {
|
---|
486 | StepR /= DiscretisationSteps;
|
---|
487 | ValueIndex = (int) (RV.getValue() / StepR);
|
---|
488 | }
|
---|
489 | return String.valueOf(ValueIndex);
|
---|
490 | }
|
---|
491 |
|
---|
492 | throw new Exception("illegal issue");
|
---|
493 | }
|
---|
494 |
|
---|
495 | TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String/* value.ToString() */, Integer>> IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum = new TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String, Integer>>(); // tells
|
---|
496 | // how
|
---|
497 | // many
|
---|
498 | // times
|
---|
499 | // each
|
---|
500 | // value
|
---|
501 | // has
|
---|
502 | // appeared
|
---|
503 | // in
|
---|
504 | // all
|
---|
505 | // incoming
|
---|
506 | // bids
|
---|
507 | TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String/* value.ToString() */, Integer>> OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum = new TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String, Integer>>(); // tells
|
---|
508 | // how
|
---|
509 | // many
|
---|
510 | // times
|
---|
511 | // each
|
---|
512 | // value
|
---|
513 | // has
|
---|
514 | // appeared
|
---|
515 | // in
|
---|
516 | // all
|
---|
517 | // incoming
|
---|
518 | // bids
|
---|
519 | TreeMap<Integer, Integer> DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum = new TreeMap<Integer, Integer>(); // tells
|
---|
520 | // how
|
---|
521 | // many
|
---|
522 | // different
|
---|
523 | // values
|
---|
524 | // are
|
---|
525 | // per
|
---|
526 | // Issue
|
---|
527 | int CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing = 20; // when hits zero, recalculate
|
---|
528 | // AverageDistance and reset
|
---|
529 | // Noise
|
---|
530 | double PreviousAverageDistance = 0.2; // 0 to 1
|
---|
531 | double PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil = 1;
|
---|
532 | double BestEverOpponentBidUtil = 0;
|
---|
533 | double WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
534 | double PrevWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
535 | double PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
536 | Bid BestEverOpponentBid = null;
|
---|
537 |
|
---|
538 | int OutgoingBidsCount = 0;
|
---|
539 |
|
---|
540 | void AddMyBidToStatistics(Bid OutgoingBid) throws Exception {
|
---|
541 | ++OutgoingBidsCount;
|
---|
542 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
543 | String bidValueEstimation = EstimateValue(I, OutgoingBid.getValue(I.getNumber()));
|
---|
544 | if (OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).containsKey(bidValueEstimation)) {
|
---|
545 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation,
|
---|
546 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(bidValueEstimation) + 1);
|
---|
547 | } else {
|
---|
548 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation, 1);
|
---|
549 | }
|
---|
550 | }
|
---|
551 | }
|
---|
552 |
|
---|
553 | double NoiseDecreaseRate = 0.01;
|
---|
554 | final int CountdownLength = 20;
|
---|
555 |
|
---|
556 | // receiveMessage noise here
|
---|
557 | public void ProcessOpponentBid(Bid IncomingBid) throws Exception {
|
---|
558 | if (CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing > 0) {
|
---|
559 | if (US.getUtility(IncomingBid) > BestEverOpponentBidUtil) {
|
---|
560 | BestEverOpponentBidUtil = US.getUtility(IncomingBid);
|
---|
561 | BestEverOpponentBid = IncomingBid;
|
---|
562 | Bids.put(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, BestEverOpponentBid);
|
---|
563 | }
|
---|
564 |
|
---|
565 | double getopUtil = OM.EvaluateOpponentUtility(IncomingBid);
|
---|
566 |
|
---|
567 | if (PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil < getopUtil)
|
---|
568 | PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = getopUtil;
|
---|
569 | if (WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil > getopUtil) {
|
---|
570 | WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = getopUtil;
|
---|
571 |
|
---|
572 | }
|
---|
573 |
|
---|
574 | --CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing;
|
---|
575 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
576 | String bidValueEstimation = EstimateValue(I, IncomingBid.getValue(I.getNumber()));
|
---|
577 | if (IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).containsKey(bidValueEstimation)) {
|
---|
578 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation,
|
---|
579 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(bidValueEstimation) + 1);
|
---|
580 | } else {
|
---|
581 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation, 1);
|
---|
582 | }
|
---|
583 | }
|
---|
584 | } else {
|
---|
585 | double CurrentSimilarity = 0;
|
---|
586 |
|
---|
587 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
588 | for (String val : OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).keySet()) {
|
---|
589 | if (IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).containsKey(val)) {
|
---|
590 | float outgoingVal = ((float) (OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(val)))
|
---|
591 | / OutgoingBidsCount;
|
---|
592 | float incomingVal = (((float) (IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(val)))
|
---|
593 | / CountdownLength);
|
---|
594 | float diff = outgoingVal - incomingVal;
|
---|
595 | float diffSqr = diff * diff; // 0 to 1
|
---|
596 |
|
---|
597 | CurrentSimilarity += (1.0 / US.getDomain().getIssues().size())
|
---|
598 | * (1.0 / DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.get(I.getNumber())) * (1 - diffSqr);
|
---|
599 | }
|
---|
600 | }
|
---|
601 | }
|
---|
602 |
|
---|
603 | if (CurrentSimilarity > PreviousAverageDistance) {
|
---|
604 | Noise += 0.05; // opponent is trying harder to search
|
---|
605 | } else if (BestEverOpponentBidUtil < PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil
|
---|
606 | || WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil < PrevWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil) {
|
---|
607 | Noise += NoiseDecreaseRate; // Apparently, the opponent just
|
---|
608 | // gave up some of his util
|
---|
609 | } else {
|
---|
610 | Noise -= NoiseDecreaseRate;
|
---|
611 |
|
---|
612 | if (PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil > WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil * 1.2)
|
---|
613 | Noise -= NoiseDecreaseRate;
|
---|
614 | if (CurrentSimilarity * 1.1 < PreviousAverageDistance)
|
---|
615 | Noise -= NoiseDecreaseRate;
|
---|
616 | }
|
---|
617 | // if (CurrentSimilarity > PreviousAverageDistance ||
|
---|
618 | // BestEverOpponentBidUtil > PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil)
|
---|
619 | // {
|
---|
620 | // Noise += 0.02;
|
---|
621 | // }
|
---|
622 | // else
|
---|
623 | // {
|
---|
624 | // Noise -= 0.02;
|
---|
625 | // }
|
---|
626 |
|
---|
627 | // if (CurrentSimilarity > PreviousAverageDistance ||
|
---|
628 | // BestEverOpponentBidUtil > PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil)
|
---|
629 | // {
|
---|
630 | // Noise += 0.02;
|
---|
631 | // }
|
---|
632 | // else if (CurrentSimilarity < PreviousAverageDistance &&
|
---|
633 | // BestEverOpponentBidUtil < PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil)
|
---|
634 | // {
|
---|
635 | // Noise -= 0.06;
|
---|
636 | // }
|
---|
637 | // else
|
---|
638 | // Noise -= 0.005;
|
---|
639 |
|
---|
640 | Noise = Math.min(Math.max(Noise, 0), 1);
|
---|
641 | PreviousAverageDistance = CurrentSimilarity;
|
---|
642 | CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing = CountdownLength;
|
---|
643 | PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil = BestEverOpponentBidUtil;
|
---|
644 | PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
645 | PrevWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil;
|
---|
646 | ClearIncommingStatistics();
|
---|
647 | }
|
---|
648 | }
|
---|
649 |
|
---|
650 | public Bid GenerateBidWithAtleastUtilityOf(double MinUtility) {
|
---|
651 | Entry<Double, Bid> e = Bids.ceilingEntry(MinUtility);
|
---|
652 | if (e == null) {
|
---|
653 | try {
|
---|
654 | } catch (Exception e1) {
|
---|
655 | e1.printStackTrace();
|
---|
656 | }
|
---|
657 | return this.maxBid;
|
---|
658 | }
|
---|
659 |
|
---|
660 | return e.getValue();
|
---|
661 | }
|
---|
662 |
|
---|
663 | }
|
---|