[127] | 1 | package agents.anac.y2011.Gahboninho;
|
---|
| 2 |
|
---|
| 3 | import java.util.ArrayList;
|
---|
| 4 | import java.util.HashMap;
|
---|
| 5 | import java.util.Iterator;
|
---|
| 6 | import java.util.Map.Entry;
|
---|
| 7 |
|
---|
| 8 | import genius.core.Bid;
|
---|
| 9 | import genius.core.issue.ISSUETYPE;
|
---|
| 10 | import genius.core.issue.Issue;
|
---|
| 11 | import genius.core.issue.IssueDiscrete;
|
---|
| 12 | import genius.core.issue.IssueInteger;
|
---|
| 13 | import genius.core.issue.IssueReal;
|
---|
| 14 | import genius.core.issue.Value;
|
---|
| 15 | import genius.core.issue.ValueDiscrete;
|
---|
| 16 | import genius.core.issue.ValueInteger;
|
---|
| 17 | import genius.core.issue.ValueReal;
|
---|
| 18 | import genius.core.timeline.TimeLineInfo;
|
---|
| 19 | import genius.core.utility.AdditiveUtilitySpace;
|
---|
| 20 |
|
---|
| 21 | import java.util.Random;
|
---|
| 22 | import java.util.TreeMap;
|
---|
| 23 |
|
---|
| 24 | public class IssueManager {
|
---|
| 25 | // world state :
|
---|
| 26 | TimeLineInfo T;
|
---|
| 27 | AdditiveUtilitySpace US;
|
---|
| 28 | int TotalBiddingPossibilities; // amount of all possible bidsd
|
---|
| 29 | // oponent properties :
|
---|
| 30 | Bid OpponentBestBid; // the first bid opponent gave us
|
---|
| 31 | double MyUtilityOnOpponentBestBid = 0;
|
---|
| 32 | double Noise = 0.4; // 0 to 1 - Tells us how varied the opponent's bids are,
|
---|
| 33 | // lately
|
---|
| 34 | // My State:
|
---|
| 35 | double NextOfferUtility = 1;
|
---|
| 36 | boolean FirstOfferGiven = false;
|
---|
| 37 | TreeMap<Double, Bid> Bids;
|
---|
| 38 | HashMap<Issue, ArrayList<Value>> relevantValuesPerIssue = new HashMap<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>();
|
---|
| 39 | Bid maxBid = null;
|
---|
| 40 | final int PlayerCount = 8; // if player count is 10, then we
|
---|
| 41 | OpponnentModel OM;
|
---|
| 42 |
|
---|
| 43 | private final boolean TEST_EQUIVALENCE = false;
|
---|
| 44 |
|
---|
| 45 | private Random random100;
|
---|
| 46 | private Random random200;
|
---|
| 47 | private Random random300;
|
---|
| 48 | private Random random400;
|
---|
| 49 |
|
---|
| 50 | boolean InFrenzy = false;
|
---|
| 51 |
|
---|
| 52 | public Bid GetMaxBidWithNoCost() throws Exception {
|
---|
| 53 | Bid maxBid = this.US.getDomain().getRandomBid(random100);
|
---|
| 54 | Bid justBidding = this.US.getDomain().getRandomBid(random100);
|
---|
| 55 |
|
---|
| 56 | for (Issue issue : this.US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
| 57 | double tmpUtil;
|
---|
| 58 | double maxUtil = 0;
|
---|
| 59 | int maxUtilValIndex = 0;
|
---|
| 60 |
|
---|
| 61 | switch (issue.getType()) {
|
---|
| 62 |
|
---|
| 63 | case INTEGER:
|
---|
| 64 |
|
---|
| 65 | IssueInteger integerIssue = (IssueInteger) issue;
|
---|
| 66 |
|
---|
| 67 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getUpperBound()));
|
---|
| 68 | maxUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
|
---|
| 69 |
|
---|
| 70 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getLowerBound()));
|
---|
| 71 | tmpUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
|
---|
| 72 |
|
---|
| 73 | if (maxUtil > tmpUtil)
|
---|
| 74 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getUpperBound()));
|
---|
| 75 | else
|
---|
| 76 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(integerIssue.getLowerBound()));
|
---|
| 77 |
|
---|
| 78 | break;
|
---|
| 79 |
|
---|
| 80 | case REAL:
|
---|
| 81 |
|
---|
| 82 | IssueReal realIssue = (IssueReal) issue;
|
---|
| 83 |
|
---|
| 84 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getUpperBound()));
|
---|
| 85 | maxUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
|
---|
| 86 |
|
---|
| 87 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getLowerBound()));
|
---|
| 88 | tmpUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
|
---|
| 89 |
|
---|
| 90 | if (maxUtil > tmpUtil)
|
---|
| 91 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getUpperBound()));
|
---|
| 92 | else
|
---|
| 93 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(realIssue.getLowerBound()));
|
---|
| 94 |
|
---|
| 95 | break;
|
---|
| 96 | case DISCRETE:
|
---|
| 97 | IssueDiscrete discreteIssue = (IssueDiscrete) issue;
|
---|
| 98 | int size = discreteIssue.getNumberOfValues();
|
---|
| 99 | for (int i = 0; i < size; i++) {
|
---|
| 100 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), discreteIssue.getValue(i));
|
---|
| 101 | tmpUtil = US.getUtility(justBidding);
|
---|
| 102 | if (tmpUtil > maxUtil) {
|
---|
| 103 | maxUtilValIndex = i;
|
---|
| 104 | maxUtil = tmpUtil;
|
---|
| 105 | }
|
---|
| 106 | }
|
---|
| 107 |
|
---|
| 108 | maxBid = maxBid.putValue(issue.getNumber(), discreteIssue.getValue(maxUtilValIndex));
|
---|
| 109 | break;
|
---|
| 110 | }
|
---|
| 111 | }
|
---|
| 112 |
|
---|
| 113 | return maxBid;
|
---|
| 114 | }
|
---|
| 115 |
|
---|
| 116 | // fill utility-to-bid map here:
|
---|
| 117 | public IssueManager(AdditiveUtilitySpace US, TimeLineInfo T, OpponnentModel om) {
|
---|
| 118 | if (TEST_EQUIVALENCE) {
|
---|
| 119 | random100 = new Random(100);
|
---|
| 120 | random200 = new Random(200);
|
---|
| 121 | random300 = new Random(300);
|
---|
| 122 | random400 = new Random(400);
|
---|
| 123 | } else {
|
---|
| 124 | random100 = new Random();
|
---|
| 125 | random200 = new Random();
|
---|
| 126 | random300 = new Random();
|
---|
| 127 | random400 = new Random();
|
---|
| 128 | }
|
---|
| 129 |
|
---|
| 130 | this.T = T;
|
---|
| 131 | this.US = US;
|
---|
| 132 | this.OM = om;
|
---|
| 133 | try {
|
---|
| 134 | maxBid = GetMaxBidWithNoCost(); // try sparing the brute force
|
---|
| 135 | double maxBidUtil = US.getUtility(maxBid);
|
---|
| 136 | if (maxBidUtil == 0) // in case cost comes into play
|
---|
| 137 | this.maxBid = this.US.getMaxUtilityBid(); // use only if the
|
---|
| 138 | // simpler function
|
---|
| 139 | // won't work
|
---|
| 140 |
|
---|
| 141 | } catch (Exception e) {
|
---|
| 142 | try {
|
---|
| 143 | this.maxBid = this.US.getMaxUtilityBid();
|
---|
| 144 | } catch (Exception e2) {
|
---|
| 145 | }
|
---|
| 146 | }
|
---|
| 147 |
|
---|
| 148 | Bids = new TreeMap<Double, Bid>();
|
---|
| 149 |
|
---|
| 150 | for (int i = 0; i < US.getDomain().getIssues().size(); ++i) {
|
---|
| 151 | Issue I = (Issue) US.getDomain().getIssues().get(i);
|
---|
| 152 | if (I.getType() == ISSUETYPE.DISCRETE) {
|
---|
| 153 | IssueDiscrete ID = (IssueDiscrete) I;
|
---|
| 154 |
|
---|
| 155 | DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.put(ID.getNumber(), ID.getNumberOfValues());
|
---|
| 156 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(ID.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
|
---|
| 157 | } else if (I.getType() == ISSUETYPE.REAL) {
|
---|
| 158 | DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), (int) DiscretisationSteps);
|
---|
| 159 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
|
---|
| 160 | } else if (I.getType() == ISSUETYPE.INTEGER) {
|
---|
| 161 | IssueInteger II = (IssueInteger) I;
|
---|
| 162 | DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(),
|
---|
| 163 | Math.min((int) DiscretisationSteps, II.getUpperBound() - II.getLowerBound() + 1));
|
---|
| 164 |
|
---|
| 165 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
|
---|
| 166 | }
|
---|
| 167 | }
|
---|
| 168 | ClearIncommingStatistics();
|
---|
| 169 | }
|
---|
| 170 |
|
---|
| 171 | void ClearIncommingStatistics() {
|
---|
| 172 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues())
|
---|
| 173 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.put(I.getNumber(), new TreeMap<String, Integer>());
|
---|
| 174 |
|
---|
| 175 | }
|
---|
| 176 |
|
---|
| 177 | public Bid getMaxBid() {
|
---|
| 178 | return maxBid;
|
---|
| 179 | }
|
---|
| 180 |
|
---|
| 181 | public double GetDiscountFactor() {
|
---|
| 182 | if (US.getDiscountFactor() <= 0.001 || US.getDiscountFactor() > 1)
|
---|
| 183 | return 1;
|
---|
| 184 | return US.getDiscountFactor();
|
---|
| 185 | }
|
---|
| 186 |
|
---|
| 187 | private void addPossibleValue(Issue issue, Value val) {
|
---|
| 188 | if (!this.relevantValuesPerIssue.containsKey(issue)) {
|
---|
| 189 | this.relevantValuesPerIssue.put(issue, new ArrayList<Value>());
|
---|
| 190 | }
|
---|
| 191 |
|
---|
| 192 | int randIndex = 0;
|
---|
| 193 | if (this.relevantValuesPerIssue.get(issue).size() > 0)
|
---|
| 194 | randIndex = Math.abs(random200.nextInt()) % this.relevantValuesPerIssue.get(issue).size();
|
---|
| 195 | this.relevantValuesPerIssue.get(issue).add(randIndex, val);
|
---|
| 196 | }
|
---|
| 197 |
|
---|
| 198 | final double DiscretisationSteps = 20; // minimum 2
|
---|
| 199 |
|
---|
| 200 | private void buildIssueValues(Bid firstOppBid) throws Exception {
|
---|
| 201 |
|
---|
| 202 | Bid justBidding = this.US.getDomain().getRandomBid(random300);
|
---|
| 203 |
|
---|
| 204 | for (Issue issue : this.US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
| 205 | int AddedValues = 0;
|
---|
| 206 |
|
---|
| 207 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), firstOppBid.getValue(issue.getNumber()));
|
---|
| 208 | double utilityWithOpp = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
|
---|
| 209 |
|
---|
| 210 | switch (issue.getType()) {
|
---|
| 211 | case INTEGER:
|
---|
| 212 | IssueInteger intIssue = (IssueInteger) issue;
|
---|
| 213 |
|
---|
| 214 | int iStep;
|
---|
| 215 | int totalSteps = (int) Math.min(DiscretisationSteps - 1,
|
---|
| 216 | intIssue.getUpperBound() - intIssue.getLowerBound());
|
---|
| 217 | iStep = Math.max(1, (int) ((intIssue.getUpperBound() - intIssue.getLowerBound()) / totalSteps));
|
---|
| 218 |
|
---|
| 219 | for (int i = intIssue.getLowerBound(); i <= intIssue.getUpperBound(); i += iStep) {
|
---|
| 220 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueInteger(i));
|
---|
| 221 | double utilityWithCurrent = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
|
---|
| 222 |
|
---|
| 223 | // Only see it as a possible value if it is better for us
|
---|
| 224 | // than the opponent offer
|
---|
| 225 | if (utilityWithCurrent >= utilityWithOpp) {
|
---|
| 226 | this.addPossibleValue(issue, new ValueInteger(i));
|
---|
| 227 | }
|
---|
| 228 | }
|
---|
| 229 |
|
---|
| 230 | AddedValues += Math.abs(intIssue.getUpperBound() - intIssue.getLowerBound());
|
---|
| 231 | break;
|
---|
| 232 | case REAL:
|
---|
| 233 |
|
---|
| 234 | IssueReal realIssue = (IssueReal) issue;
|
---|
| 235 | double oneStep = (realIssue.getUpperBound() - realIssue.getLowerBound()) / (DiscretisationSteps - 1);
|
---|
| 236 | for (double curr = realIssue.getLowerBound(); curr <= realIssue.getUpperBound(); curr += oneStep) {
|
---|
| 237 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), new ValueReal(curr));
|
---|
| 238 | double utilityWithCurrent = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
|
---|
| 239 | // Only see it as a possible value if it is better for us
|
---|
| 240 | // than the opponent offer
|
---|
| 241 | if (utilityWithCurrent >= utilityWithOpp) {
|
---|
| 242 | this.addPossibleValue(issue, new ValueReal(curr));
|
---|
| 243 | AddedValues += 1000;
|
---|
| 244 | }
|
---|
| 245 | }
|
---|
| 246 |
|
---|
| 247 | break;
|
---|
| 248 | case DISCRETE:
|
---|
| 249 | IssueDiscrete discreteIssue = (IssueDiscrete) issue;
|
---|
| 250 | int size = discreteIssue.getNumberOfValues();
|
---|
| 251 | for (int i = 0; i < size; i++) {
|
---|
| 252 | ValueDiscrete curr = discreteIssue.getValue(i);
|
---|
| 253 | justBidding = justBidding.putValue(issue.getNumber(), curr);
|
---|
| 254 | double utilityWithCurrent = this.US.getEvaluation(issue.getNumber(), justBidding);
|
---|
| 255 | // Only see it as a possible value if it is better for us
|
---|
| 256 | // than the opponent offer
|
---|
| 257 | if (utilityWithCurrent >= utilityWithOpp) {
|
---|
| 258 | this.addPossibleValue(issue, curr);
|
---|
| 259 | AddedValues += 1;
|
---|
| 260 | }
|
---|
| 261 |
|
---|
| 262 | }
|
---|
| 263 | break;
|
---|
| 264 | }
|
---|
| 265 |
|
---|
| 266 | EffectiveDomainBids *= AddedValues;
|
---|
| 267 | }
|
---|
| 268 | }
|
---|
| 269 |
|
---|
| 270 | Double BidsCreationTime = 0.0;
|
---|
| 271 | double EffectiveDomainBids = 1;
|
---|
| 272 |
|
---|
| 273 | public void learnBids(Bid firstOppBid) throws Exception {
|
---|
| 274 | this.buildIssueValues(firstOppBid);
|
---|
| 275 |
|
---|
| 276 | double startTime = T.getTime();
|
---|
| 277 |
|
---|
| 278 | // very hard to deal with hash map, so copy it to arraylist:
|
---|
| 279 | Iterator<Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>> MyIssueIterator = relevantValuesPerIssue.entrySet().iterator();
|
---|
| 280 | while (MyIssueIterator.hasNext())
|
---|
| 281 | IssueEntries.add(MyIssueIterator.next());
|
---|
| 282 |
|
---|
| 283 | // if there is a discount factor, don't take your time searching for
|
---|
| 284 | // bids
|
---|
| 285 | BuildBid(new HashMap<Integer, Value>(), 0, 0.05 * Math.pow(GetDiscountFactor(), 0.6) + startTime);
|
---|
| 286 | BidsCreationTime = T.getTime() - startTime;
|
---|
| 287 |
|
---|
| 288 | // if there are about 5000 turns for the opponent, I expect him to be
|
---|
| 289 | // able to
|
---|
| 290 | // give a good bid every few turns
|
---|
| 291 | NoiseDecreaseRate = 0.01 * EffectiveDomainBids / (400);
|
---|
| 292 | NoiseDecreaseRate = Math.min(0.015, NoiseDecreaseRate); // beware of a
|
---|
| 293 | // too large
|
---|
| 294 | // rate
|
---|
| 295 | NoiseDecreaseRate = Math.max(0.003, NoiseDecreaseRate);
|
---|
| 296 |
|
---|
| 297 | }
|
---|
| 298 |
|
---|
| 299 | private ArrayList<Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>> IssueEntries = new ArrayList<Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>>>();
|
---|
| 300 |
|
---|
| 301 | int UtilityCollisionsLeft = 200000;
|
---|
| 302 |
|
---|
| 303 | private void BuildBid(HashMap<Integer, Value> B, int EntrySetIndex, double EndTime) {
|
---|
| 304 | // TODO : build only bids with at least X util.
|
---|
| 305 | // after some time, when we need lower utilities, re-build bid map, only
|
---|
| 306 | // this time consider
|
---|
| 307 | // opponent's preferences: just build a method that tells us if one bid
|
---|
| 308 | // is preferrable (from opponent's point of view)
|
---|
| 309 | // and if the less preferable one gives us less utility than the other
|
---|
| 310 | // bid, simply remove the bid from map
|
---|
| 311 |
|
---|
| 312 | if (T.getTime() < EndTime) {
|
---|
| 313 | if (EntrySetIndex < IssueEntries.size()) {
|
---|
| 314 | Entry<Issue, ArrayList<Value>> currentEntry = IssueEntries.get(EntrySetIndex);
|
---|
| 315 | for (Value v : currentEntry.getValue()) {
|
---|
| 316 | B.put(currentEntry.getKey().getNumber(), v);
|
---|
| 317 | BuildBid(B, EntrySetIndex + 1, EndTime);
|
---|
| 318 | }
|
---|
| 319 | } else {
|
---|
| 320 | try {
|
---|
| 321 |
|
---|
| 322 | Bid newBid = new Bid(US.getDomain(), new HashMap<Integer, Value>(B));
|
---|
| 323 |
|
---|
| 324 | double BidUtil = US.getUtility(newBid);
|
---|
| 325 |
|
---|
| 326 | while (UtilityCollisionsLeft > 0 && Bids.containsKey(BidUtil)) {
|
---|
| 327 | --UtilityCollisionsLeft;
|
---|
| 328 | BidUtil -= 0.002 / (random400.nextInt() % 9999999);
|
---|
| 329 | }
|
---|
| 330 |
|
---|
| 331 | Bids.put(BidUtil, newBid);
|
---|
| 332 | } catch (Exception e) {
|
---|
| 333 | e.printStackTrace();
|
---|
| 334 | }
|
---|
| 335 | }
|
---|
| 336 |
|
---|
| 337 | }
|
---|
| 338 | }
|
---|
| 339 |
|
---|
| 340 | public double CompromosingFactor = 0.95;
|
---|
| 341 | // returns the minimum utility we want in the next offer we send
|
---|
| 342 |
|
---|
| 343 | double TimeDiffStart = -1;
|
---|
| 344 | double TimeDiffEnd = -1;
|
---|
| 345 | double RoundCountBeforePanic = 1;
|
---|
| 346 |
|
---|
| 347 | double PrevRecommendation = 1;
|
---|
| 348 | double MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.0009;
|
---|
| 349 |
|
---|
| 350 | public double GetNextRecommendedOfferUtility() {
|
---|
| 351 | if (FirstOfferGiven == false) {
|
---|
| 352 | FirstOfferGiven = true;
|
---|
| 353 | return 1;
|
---|
| 354 | }
|
---|
| 355 |
|
---|
| 356 | double Time = T.getTime();
|
---|
| 357 | double Min = Math.pow(GetDiscountFactor(), 2 * Time);
|
---|
| 358 | double Max = Min * (1 + 6 * Noise * Math.pow(GetDiscountFactor(), 5));
|
---|
| 359 |
|
---|
| 360 | if (Time < 0.85 * GetDiscountFactor())
|
---|
| 361 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.9125);
|
---|
| 362 | else if (Time <= 0.92 * GetDiscountFactor()) {
|
---|
| 363 | CompromosingFactor = 0.94;
|
---|
| 364 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.84); // never ever accept
|
---|
| 365 | // an offer with
|
---|
| 366 | // less than that
|
---|
| 367 | // utility
|
---|
| 368 |
|
---|
| 369 | Max /= Min; // slow down the decreasing
|
---|
| 370 |
|
---|
| 371 | } else if (Time <= 0.94 * GetDiscountFactor()) {
|
---|
| 372 | CompromosingFactor = 0.93;
|
---|
| 373 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.775);
|
---|
| 374 | Max /= Min;
|
---|
| 375 | } else if (Time <= 0.985 * Min && (BestEverOpponentBidUtil <= 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount) || // never
|
---|
| 376 | // accept
|
---|
| 377 | // an
|
---|
| 378 | // offer
|
---|
| 379 | // with
|
---|
| 380 | // less
|
---|
| 381 | // utility
|
---|
| 382 | // than
|
---|
| 383 | // that
|
---|
| 384 | Time <= (1 - 3 * (TimeDiffEnd - TimeDiffStart) / RoundCountBeforePanic))) {
|
---|
| 385 | CompromosingFactor = 0.91;
|
---|
| 386 | MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.001;
|
---|
| 387 |
|
---|
| 388 | Min *= Math.max(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, 0.7);
|
---|
| 389 | Max /= Min;
|
---|
| 390 |
|
---|
| 391 | TimeDiffEnd = TimeDiffStart = Time;
|
---|
| 392 | } else if (Time <= 0.9996 && (BestEverOpponentBidUtil <= 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount) || // never
|
---|
| 393 | // accept
|
---|
| 394 | // an
|
---|
| 395 | // offer
|
---|
| 396 | // with
|
---|
| 397 | // less
|
---|
| 398 | // utility
|
---|
| 399 | // than
|
---|
| 400 | // that
|
---|
| 401 | Time <= (1 - 3 * (TimeDiffEnd - TimeDiffStart) / RoundCountBeforePanic))) // until
|
---|
| 402 | // last
|
---|
| 403 | // few
|
---|
| 404 | // rounds
|
---|
| 405 | {
|
---|
| 406 | TimeDiffEnd = Time;
|
---|
| 407 | ++RoundCountBeforePanic;
|
---|
| 408 |
|
---|
| 409 | MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.001 + 0.01 * (Time - 0.985) / (0.015);
|
---|
| 410 |
|
---|
| 411 | // MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.0018;
|
---|
| 412 | // MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 0.0009;
|
---|
| 413 |
|
---|
| 414 | if (3 * (1.0 / PlayerCount) > BestEverOpponentBidUtil) {
|
---|
| 415 | Min *= 3.5 * (1.0 / PlayerCount);
|
---|
| 416 | CompromosingFactor = 0.8;
|
---|
| 417 | } else {
|
---|
| 418 | Min *= BestEverOpponentBidUtil;
|
---|
| 419 | CompromosingFactor = 0.95;
|
---|
| 420 | }
|
---|
| 421 |
|
---|
| 422 | Max /= Min;
|
---|
| 423 | } else {
|
---|
| 424 |
|
---|
| 425 | CompromosingFactor = 0.92;
|
---|
| 426 |
|
---|
| 427 | // as low as I can go!
|
---|
| 428 | if (BestEverOpponentBidUtil < 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount)) {
|
---|
| 429 | Min = 2 * (1.0 / PlayerCount); // 0.25 if 8 players
|
---|
| 430 | Max = 1;
|
---|
| 431 | } else {
|
---|
| 432 | Max = Min = BestEverOpponentBidUtil;
|
---|
| 433 | InFrenzy = true;
|
---|
| 434 | }
|
---|
| 435 | MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate = 1;
|
---|
| 436 | }
|
---|
| 437 |
|
---|
| 438 | // the more eager the opponent is to settle, the slower we give up our
|
---|
| 439 | // utility.
|
---|
| 440 | // the higher the discount factor loss, the faster we give it up
|
---|
| 441 |
|
---|
| 442 | Max = Math.max(Max, Min);
|
---|
| 443 | NextOfferUtility = Math.min(1, Max - (Max - Min) * T.getTime());
|
---|
| 444 |
|
---|
| 445 | // slow down the change:
|
---|
| 446 | if (NextOfferUtility + MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate < PrevRecommendation)
|
---|
| 447 | NextOfferUtility = PrevRecommendation - MaximalUtilityDecreaseRate;
|
---|
| 448 | else if (NextOfferUtility - 0.005 > PrevRecommendation)
|
---|
| 449 | NextOfferUtility = PrevRecommendation + 0.005;
|
---|
| 450 |
|
---|
| 451 | PrevRecommendation = NextOfferUtility;
|
---|
| 452 | return NextOfferUtility;
|
---|
| 453 | }
|
---|
| 454 |
|
---|
| 455 | public double GetMinimumUtilityToAccept() // changes over time
|
---|
| 456 | {
|
---|
| 457 | double util1 = CompromosingFactor;
|
---|
| 458 | double util2 = GetNextRecommendedOfferUtility();
|
---|
| 459 | return util1 * util2;
|
---|
| 460 | }
|
---|
| 461 |
|
---|
| 462 | int CountdownToNoiseReestimation;
|
---|
| 463 |
|
---|
| 464 | String EstimateValue(Issue I, Value v) throws Exception {
|
---|
| 465 | switch (I.getType()) {
|
---|
| 466 | case DISCRETE:
|
---|
| 467 | ValueDiscrete DV = (ValueDiscrete) v;
|
---|
| 468 | return DV.getValue();
|
---|
| 469 | case INTEGER:
|
---|
| 470 | int ValueIndex = 0;
|
---|
| 471 | IssueInteger II = (IssueInteger) I;
|
---|
| 472 | ValueInteger IV = (ValueInteger) v;
|
---|
| 473 | double Step = II.getUpperBound() - II.getLowerBound();
|
---|
| 474 | if (Step != 0) {
|
---|
| 475 | int totalSteps = (int) Math.min(DiscretisationSteps, II.getUpperBound() - II.getLowerBound() + 1);
|
---|
| 476 | Step /= totalSteps;
|
---|
| 477 | ValueIndex = (int) (IV.getValue() / Step);
|
---|
| 478 | }
|
---|
| 479 | return String.valueOf(ValueIndex);
|
---|
| 480 | case REAL:
|
---|
| 481 | IssueReal RI = (IssueReal) I;
|
---|
| 482 | ValueReal RV = (ValueReal) v;
|
---|
| 483 | double StepR = RI.getUpperBound() - RI.getLowerBound();
|
---|
| 484 | ValueIndex = 0;
|
---|
| 485 | if (StepR != 0) {
|
---|
| 486 | StepR /= DiscretisationSteps;
|
---|
| 487 | ValueIndex = (int) (RV.getValue() / StepR);
|
---|
| 488 | }
|
---|
| 489 | return String.valueOf(ValueIndex);
|
---|
| 490 | }
|
---|
| 491 |
|
---|
| 492 | throw new Exception("illegal issue");
|
---|
| 493 | }
|
---|
| 494 |
|
---|
| 495 | TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String/* value.ToString() */, Integer>> IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum = new TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String, Integer>>(); // tells
|
---|
| 496 | // how
|
---|
| 497 | // many
|
---|
| 498 | // times
|
---|
| 499 | // each
|
---|
| 500 | // value
|
---|
| 501 | // has
|
---|
| 502 | // appeared
|
---|
| 503 | // in
|
---|
| 504 | // all
|
---|
| 505 | // incoming
|
---|
| 506 | // bids
|
---|
| 507 | TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String/* value.ToString() */, Integer>> OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum = new TreeMap<Integer, TreeMap<String, Integer>>(); // tells
|
---|
| 508 | // how
|
---|
| 509 | // many
|
---|
| 510 | // times
|
---|
| 511 | // each
|
---|
| 512 | // value
|
---|
| 513 | // has
|
---|
| 514 | // appeared
|
---|
| 515 | // in
|
---|
| 516 | // all
|
---|
| 517 | // incoming
|
---|
| 518 | // bids
|
---|
| 519 | TreeMap<Integer, Integer> DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum = new TreeMap<Integer, Integer>(); // tells
|
---|
| 520 | // how
|
---|
| 521 | // many
|
---|
| 522 | // different
|
---|
| 523 | // values
|
---|
| 524 | // are
|
---|
| 525 | // per
|
---|
| 526 | // Issue
|
---|
| 527 | int CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing = 20; // when hits zero, recalculate
|
---|
| 528 | // AverageDistance and reset
|
---|
| 529 | // Noise
|
---|
| 530 | double PreviousAverageDistance = 0.2; // 0 to 1
|
---|
| 531 | double PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil = 1;
|
---|
| 532 | double BestEverOpponentBidUtil = 0;
|
---|
| 533 | double WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
| 534 | double PrevWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
| 535 | double PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
| 536 | Bid BestEverOpponentBid = null;
|
---|
| 537 |
|
---|
| 538 | int OutgoingBidsCount = 0;
|
---|
| 539 |
|
---|
| 540 | void AddMyBidToStatistics(Bid OutgoingBid) throws Exception {
|
---|
| 541 | ++OutgoingBidsCount;
|
---|
| 542 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
| 543 | String bidValueEstimation = EstimateValue(I, OutgoingBid.getValue(I.getNumber()));
|
---|
| 544 | if (OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).containsKey(bidValueEstimation)) {
|
---|
| 545 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation,
|
---|
| 546 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(bidValueEstimation) + 1);
|
---|
| 547 | } else {
|
---|
| 548 | OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation, 1);
|
---|
| 549 | }
|
---|
| 550 | }
|
---|
| 551 | }
|
---|
| 552 |
|
---|
| 553 | double NoiseDecreaseRate = 0.01;
|
---|
| 554 | final int CountdownLength = 20;
|
---|
| 555 |
|
---|
| 556 | // receiveMessage noise here
|
---|
| 557 | public void ProcessOpponentBid(Bid IncomingBid) throws Exception {
|
---|
| 558 | if (CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing > 0) {
|
---|
| 559 | if (US.getUtility(IncomingBid) > BestEverOpponentBidUtil) {
|
---|
| 560 | BestEverOpponentBidUtil = US.getUtility(IncomingBid);
|
---|
| 561 | BestEverOpponentBid = IncomingBid;
|
---|
| 562 | Bids.put(BestEverOpponentBidUtil, BestEverOpponentBid);
|
---|
| 563 | }
|
---|
| 564 |
|
---|
| 565 | double getopUtil = OM.EvaluateOpponentUtility(IncomingBid);
|
---|
| 566 |
|
---|
| 567 | if (PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil < getopUtil)
|
---|
| 568 | PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = getopUtil;
|
---|
| 569 | if (WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil > getopUtil) {
|
---|
| 570 | WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = getopUtil;
|
---|
| 571 |
|
---|
| 572 | }
|
---|
| 573 |
|
---|
| 574 | --CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing;
|
---|
| 575 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
| 576 | String bidValueEstimation = EstimateValue(I, IncomingBid.getValue(I.getNumber()));
|
---|
| 577 | if (IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).containsKey(bidValueEstimation)) {
|
---|
| 578 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation,
|
---|
| 579 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(bidValueEstimation) + 1);
|
---|
| 580 | } else {
|
---|
| 581 | IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).put(bidValueEstimation, 1);
|
---|
| 582 | }
|
---|
| 583 | }
|
---|
| 584 | } else {
|
---|
| 585 | double CurrentSimilarity = 0;
|
---|
| 586 |
|
---|
| 587 | for (Issue I : US.getDomain().getIssues()) {
|
---|
| 588 | for (String val : OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).keySet()) {
|
---|
| 589 | if (IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).containsKey(val)) {
|
---|
| 590 | float outgoingVal = ((float) (OutgoingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(val)))
|
---|
| 591 | / OutgoingBidsCount;
|
---|
| 592 | float incomingVal = (((float) (IncomingValueAppeareancesByIssueNum.get(I.getNumber()).get(val)))
|
---|
| 593 | / CountdownLength);
|
---|
| 594 | float diff = outgoingVal - incomingVal;
|
---|
| 595 | float diffSqr = diff * diff; // 0 to 1
|
---|
| 596 |
|
---|
| 597 | CurrentSimilarity += (1.0 / US.getDomain().getIssues().size())
|
---|
| 598 | * (1.0 / DifferentValuesCountPerIssueNum.get(I.getNumber())) * (1 - diffSqr);
|
---|
| 599 | }
|
---|
| 600 | }
|
---|
| 601 | }
|
---|
| 602 |
|
---|
| 603 | if (CurrentSimilarity > PreviousAverageDistance) {
|
---|
| 604 | Noise += 0.05; // opponent is trying harder to search
|
---|
| 605 | } else if (BestEverOpponentBidUtil < PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil
|
---|
| 606 | || WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil < PrevWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil) {
|
---|
| 607 | Noise += NoiseDecreaseRate; // Apparently, the opponent just
|
---|
| 608 | // gave up some of his util
|
---|
| 609 | } else {
|
---|
| 610 | Noise -= NoiseDecreaseRate;
|
---|
| 611 |
|
---|
| 612 | if (PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil > WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil * 1.2)
|
---|
| 613 | Noise -= NoiseDecreaseRate;
|
---|
| 614 | if (CurrentSimilarity * 1.1 < PreviousAverageDistance)
|
---|
| 615 | Noise -= NoiseDecreaseRate;
|
---|
| 616 | }
|
---|
| 617 | // if (CurrentSimilarity > PreviousAverageDistance ||
|
---|
| 618 | // BestEverOpponentBidUtil > PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil)
|
---|
| 619 | // {
|
---|
| 620 | // Noise += 0.02;
|
---|
| 621 | // }
|
---|
| 622 | // else
|
---|
| 623 | // {
|
---|
| 624 | // Noise -= 0.02;
|
---|
| 625 | // }
|
---|
| 626 |
|
---|
| 627 | // if (CurrentSimilarity > PreviousAverageDistance ||
|
---|
| 628 | // BestEverOpponentBidUtil > PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil)
|
---|
| 629 | // {
|
---|
| 630 | // Noise += 0.02;
|
---|
| 631 | // }
|
---|
| 632 | // else if (CurrentSimilarity < PreviousAverageDistance &&
|
---|
| 633 | // BestEverOpponentBidUtil < PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil)
|
---|
| 634 | // {
|
---|
| 635 | // Noise -= 0.06;
|
---|
| 636 | // }
|
---|
| 637 | // else
|
---|
| 638 | // Noise -= 0.005;
|
---|
| 639 |
|
---|
| 640 | Noise = Math.min(Math.max(Noise, 0), 1);
|
---|
| 641 | PreviousAverageDistance = CurrentSimilarity;
|
---|
| 642 | CountdownToStatisticsRefreshing = CountdownLength;
|
---|
| 643 | PreviousCountdownOpponentBestBidUtil = BestEverOpponentBidUtil;
|
---|
| 644 | PrevRoundWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = 1;
|
---|
| 645 | PrevWorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil = WorstOpponentBidEvaluatedOpponentUtil;
|
---|
| 646 | ClearIncommingStatistics();
|
---|
| 647 | }
|
---|
| 648 | }
|
---|
| 649 |
|
---|
| 650 | public Bid GenerateBidWithAtleastUtilityOf(double MinUtility) {
|
---|
| 651 | Entry<Double, Bid> e = Bids.ceilingEntry(MinUtility);
|
---|
| 652 | if (e == null) {
|
---|
| 653 | try {
|
---|
| 654 | } catch (Exception e1) {
|
---|
| 655 | e1.printStackTrace();
|
---|
| 656 | }
|
---|
| 657 | return this.maxBid;
|
---|
| 658 | }
|
---|
| 659 |
|
---|
| 660 | return e.getValue();
|
---|
| 661 | }
|
---|
| 662 |
|
---|
| 663 | }
|
---|