1 | package geniusweb.exampleparties.simpleshaop;
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2 |
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3 | import java.io.IOException;
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4 | import java.math.BigInteger;
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5 | import java.util.ArrayList;
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6 | import java.util.Arrays;
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7 | import java.util.HashSet;
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8 | import java.util.List;
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9 | import java.util.Map;
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10 | import java.util.Random;
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11 | import java.util.logging.Level;
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12 | import javax.websocket.DeploymentException;
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13 | import geniusweb.actions.Accept;
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14 | import geniusweb.actions.Action;
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15 | import geniusweb.actions.Comparison;
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16 | import geniusweb.actions.ElicitComparison;
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17 | import geniusweb.actions.EndNegotiation;
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18 | import geniusweb.actions.Offer;
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19 | import geniusweb.actions.PartyId;
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20 | import geniusweb.bidspace.AllBidsList;
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21 | import geniusweb.issuevalue.Bid;
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22 | import geniusweb.issuevalue.Domain;
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23 | import geniusweb.party.Capabilities;
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24 | import geniusweb.party.DefaultParty;
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25 | import geniusweb.party.inform.ActionDone;
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26 | import geniusweb.party.inform.Finished;
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27 | import geniusweb.party.inform.Inform;
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28 | import geniusweb.party.inform.Settings;
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29 | import geniusweb.party.inform.YourTurn;
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30 | import geniusweb.profile.PartialOrdering;
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31 | import geniusweb.profile.Profile;
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32 | import geniusweb.profileconnection.ProfileConnectionFactory;
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33 | import geniusweb.profileconnection.ProfileInterface;
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34 | import geniusweb.progress.Progress;
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35 | import geniusweb.progress.ProgressRounds;
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36 | import tudelft.utilities.logging.Reporter;
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37 |
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38 | /**
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39 | * This Agent work on partial preference and use
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40 | * the GravityAgent ( ANAC 2019 competition ) user model
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41 | * to model user and use Frequency method to model our opponent.
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42 | *
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43 | * @author Arash Ebrahinezhad
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44 | *
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45 | * Arash.ebrah@gmail.com
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46 | * arash.ebrah@nit.ac.ir
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47 | */
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48 | public class ShaopParty extends DefaultParty {
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49 |
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50 | private Random rand = new Random();
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51 |
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52 | private int numberOfSameConsecutiveBidInMyBids = 0;
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53 | private double eCost; // Elicitation Cost
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54 | private double rValue; // Reservation Value
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55 | private FrequencyModel opModel; // Opponent Model
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56 | private boolean myConcessionEnough = false;
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57 | private GravityEs myModel2; // User Model
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58 | private Bid receivedBid = null; // Last Received bid
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59 | ArrayList<Bid> oppBids = new ArrayList<Bid>(); // All Bids that received from Opponent
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60 | ArrayList<Bid> myBids = new ArrayList<Bid>(); // All Bids that we sent to opponent
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61 | private List<Bid> bidOrder;
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62 | private int allBidSize;
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63 | private List<Double> expectedValue; // توزیع احتمالاتی بیدهای در بین بیدهای مرتب شده
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64 |
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65 | // Time depending bidding strategy : boulware or conceder
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66 | private double e = 0.8;
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67 | private static final double k = 0;
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68 | private int afterRank = 2; // How many rank after our estimation bid rank must be checked
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69 | private int beforeRank = 1; // How many rank before our estimation bid rank must be checked
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70 | private double agreementSimilarityThreshold; // threshold of similarity for acceptance Strategy
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71 | private double opponentConcesionRate = 0.08; // our expected opponent concession rate
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72 | private int howManyRankMustBeChecked = 5; // threshold of bid rank which we mast to check if Estimation rank satisfy the condition
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73 |
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74 | double Pagreement; // the threshold of bid agreement by opponent we must to select ( control our concession strategy )
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75 |
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76 | ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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77 | private Bid reservationBid;
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78 | private PartyId me;
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79 | protected ProfileInterface profileint;
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80 | private Progress progress;
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81 |
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82 | private USpace utilitySpace;
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83 | private Profile profile;
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84 | private Domain domain;
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85 | private AllBidsList allBids;
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86 | private double totalBother = 0;
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87 | private SimpleLinearOrdering estimatedProfile = null;
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88 | ////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
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89 |
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90 |
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91 | public ShaopParty() {
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92 | }
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93 |
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94 | public ShaopParty(Reporter reporter) {
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95 | super(reporter); // for debugging
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96 | }
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97 |
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98 |
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99 | private void init(Settings info) throws IOException, DeploymentException {
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100 |
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101 | Settings settings = (Settings) info;
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102 | this.profileint = ProfileConnectionFactory
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103 | .create(settings.getProfile().getURI(), getReporter());
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104 | this.me = settings.getID();
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105 | this.progress = settings.getProgress();
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106 |
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107 | this.profile = profileint.getProfile();
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108 | this.domain = this.profile.getDomain();
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109 | utilitySpace = new USpace(this.domain);
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110 | allBids = new AllBidsList(profileint.getProfile().getDomain());
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111 |
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112 |
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113 | if ( reservationBid != null ) // if the reservation bid does not exist so we accept opponent bid with more probability
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114 | agreementSimilarityThreshold = 0.85;
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115 | else
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116 | agreementSimilarityThreshold = 0.7;
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117 |
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118 |
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119 | estimatedProfile = new SimpleLinearOrdering( profile );
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120 | List<Bid> bOr = new ArrayList<Bid>();
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121 | if ( estimatedProfile.getBids().size() == 2 ) { // if ordered bids size equal 2, add reservation value or random Bid
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122 |
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123 | bOr.add( estimatedProfile.getBids().get(0) );
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124 |
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125 | if(reservationBid != null &&
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126 | !reservationBid.equals(estimatedProfile.getBids().get(0)) &&
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127 | !reservationBid.equals(estimatedProfile.getBids().get(1)) )
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128 | bOr.add( reservationBid );
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129 | else
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130 | while ( true ) {
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131 | long i = rand.nextInt(allBids.size().intValue());
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132 | Bid randBid = allBids.get(BigInteger.valueOf(i));
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133 | if ( !randBid.equals(estimatedProfile.getBids().get(0)) &&
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134 | !randBid.equals(estimatedProfile.getBids().get(1)) ) {
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135 | bOr.add( randBid );
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136 | break;
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137 | }
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138 | }
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139 |
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140 | bOr.add( estimatedProfile.getBids().get(1) );
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141 |
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142 | estimatedProfile = new SimpleLinearOrdering(domain, bOr);
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143 |
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144 | }
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145 |
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146 |
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147 | bidOrder = estimatedProfile.getBids();
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148 |
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149 |
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150 | try { // if elicitation cost is set, catch it, else set it 0.1
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151 | eCost = (double) settings.getParameters().get("elicitationcost");
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152 | } catch (Exception e) {
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153 | eCost = 0.1; // if elicitation cost is not set, we set it to 0.1
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154 | }
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155 |
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156 | try { // if reservation Bid is set, catch it, else set it null
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157 | reservationBid = profile.getReservationBid();
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158 | }catch (Exception e) {
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159 | reservationBid = null;
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160 | }
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161 |
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162 | opModel = new FrequencyModel(utilitySpace);
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163 |
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164 |
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165 |
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166 |
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167 | allBidSize = allBids.size().intValue();
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168 | expectedValue = new ArrayList<Double>();
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169 | initExpectedValue();
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170 |
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171 | myModel2 = new GravityEs(domain, bidOrder);
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172 |
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173 | //myModel = new WinkyA2(domain, bidOrder, profileint);
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174 |
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175 | if ( reservationBid != null ) // if reservation bid is set, set the reservation value to utility of it
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176 | rValue = myModel2.getUtilityForBid(reservationBid); // این قسمت شاید تغییر کند
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177 | else
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178 | rValue = 0;
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179 |
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180 |
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181 | }
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182 |
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183 | public void initExpectedValue() {
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184 | for ( int i = 0; i < bidOrder.size()-1; i++ )
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185 | expectedValue.add((double)1.0/(bidOrder.size()-1));
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186 |
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187 | }
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188 |
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189 | private void updateExpectedUtility() {
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190 | expectedValue.clear();
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191 | for ( int i = 0; i < bidOrder.size()-1; i++ )
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192 | expectedValue.add((double)1.0/(bidOrder.size()-1));
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193 | }
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194 |
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195 | @Override
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196 | public void notifyChange(Inform info) {
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197 | try {
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198 | if (info instanceof Settings) {
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199 | init( (Settings) info);
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200 | } else if (info instanceof ActionDone) {
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201 | Action otheract = ((ActionDone) info).getAction();
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202 | if (otheract instanceof Offer) {
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203 | receivedBid = ((Offer) otheract).getBid();
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204 | opModel.updateLearner(receivedBid);
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205 | } else if (otheract instanceof Comparison) {
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206 | totalBother += eCost; // شاید این قسمت تغییر کند
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207 | estimatedProfile = estimatedProfile.with(
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208 | ((Comparison) otheract).getBid(),
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209 | ((Comparison) otheract).getWorse());
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210 | bidOrder = estimatedProfile.getBids(); // After each elicitation update bidOrder
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211 | updateExpectedUtility();
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212 | myModel2 = myModel2.updateGravityModel(bidOrder); // After each elicitation update User Model
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213 | if ( reservationBid != null )
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214 | rValue = myModel2.getUtilityForBid(reservationBid); // After each elicitation update reservation value
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215 | myTurn(true);
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216 | }
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217 | } else if (info instanceof YourTurn) {
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218 | myTurn(false);
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219 | } else if (info instanceof Finished) {
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220 | getReporter().log(Level.INFO, "Final ourcome:" + info);
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221 | }
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222 | } catch (Exception e) {
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223 | throw new RuntimeException("Failed to handle info", e);
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224 | }
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225 | }
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226 |
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227 | @Override
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228 | public Capabilities getCapabilities() {
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229 | return new Capabilities(new HashSet<>(Arrays.asList("SHAOP")));
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230 | }
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231 |
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232 | @Override
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233 | public String getDescription() {
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234 | return "Azar Agent ANAC 2020";
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235 | }
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236 |
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237 | /**
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238 | * Called when it's (still) our turn and we should take some action. Also
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239 | * Updates the progress if necessary.
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240 | */
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241 | void myTurn(boolean elicitation) throws IOException {
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242 |
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243 | Action action = null;
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244 |
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245 | if ( !elicitation && !myConcessionEnough ) {
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246 | double t = progress.get(System.currentTimeMillis());
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247 | Pagreement = getPagreement(t);
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248 | }
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249 |
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250 |
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251 | // Elicitation Strategy and Bidding Strategy
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252 | //log2("--------------------------------<Elicitation start>------------------------------------"+Pagreement);
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253 | MyBidDetails bidDetail = null;
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254 |
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255 | if ( totalBother < 0.6 /*1-rValue*/ ) { // تا زمانی که به مقدار رزرویشن نرسیدیم، الیسیتیشن رو ادامه بده
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256 | bidDetail = getBestBidInKnownSet( Pagreement, elicitation );
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257 |
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258 | MyBidDetails bidDetailPrim = getBestBidInUnKnownSet( Pagreement );
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259 |
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260 | // Only for log!!!
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261 | //String s = " Is this ("+bidDetailPrim.getEu()+" - "+eCost+" > "+bidDetail.getEu() + ") True?";
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262 | //s +=( (bidDetailPrim.getEu() - eCost > bidDetail.getEu()) ) ? " True => Elicit" : " False => not Elicit";
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263 | //log2( s );
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264 |
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265 | if ( bidDetailPrim.getEu() - eCost > bidDetail.getEu() )
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266 | action = new ElicitComparison(me, bidDetailPrim.getBid(), estimatedProfile.getBids());
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267 |
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268 | } else {
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269 | //log2("Elicitation total bother is more than 0.6 !!!");
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270 | }
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271 | //log2("---------------------------------<Elicitation End>-------------------------------------\n\n");
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272 |
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273 |
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274 | if(bidDetail == null) {
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275 | if(reservationBid != null)
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276 | bidDetail = new MyBidDetails(reservationBid, 0.5);
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277 | else
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278 | if ( bidOrder.size() > 10 )
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279 | bidDetail = new MyBidDetails(bidOrder.get(bidOrder.size()/2), 1.0);
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280 | else
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281 | bidDetail = new MyBidDetails(bidOrder.get(bidOrder.size()-1), 1.0);
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282 | }
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283 |
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284 |
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285 | if ( action == null && receivedBid != null ) {
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286 | if ( isGood(receivedBid,bidDetail.getBid()) )
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287 | action = new Accept(me, receivedBid);
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288 |
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289 | if (progress instanceof ProgressRounds)
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290 | progress = ((ProgressRounds) progress).advance();
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291 |
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292 | }
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293 |
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294 |
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295 | if ( action == null ) {
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296 | Bid myBid = bidDetail.getBid();
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297 |
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298 | if ( myModel2.getUtilityForBid(myBid) > rValue ) {
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299 |
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300 | if ( myBids.isEmpty() )
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301 | myBids.add(myBid);
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302 | if (!myBids.contains(myBid) )
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303 | myBids.add(myBid);
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304 |
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305 |
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306 |
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307 |
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308 | if ( myBids.size() > 1 )
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309 | if ( myBids.get( myBids.size()-1 ).equals( myBids.get( myBids.size()-2 ) ) )
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310 | numberOfSameConsecutiveBidInMyBids++;
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311 | else
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312 | numberOfSameConsecutiveBidInMyBids = 0;
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313 |
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314 |
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315 |
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316 |
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317 |
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318 |
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319 | action = new Offer(me, myBid );
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320 | } else
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321 | action = new EndNegotiation(me);
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322 |
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323 | }
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324 |
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325 | getConnection().send(action);
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326 |
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327 | }
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328 |
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329 |
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330 |
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331 |
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332 | //***************************************************************************************
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333 |
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334 | /**
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335 | * Acceptance Strategy
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336 | *
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337 | * @param reBid the last received bid from opponent
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338 | *
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339 | * @param nextBid the next bid that we prepare to send to opponent
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340 | *
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341 | * @return true if we must accept opponent offer and false vice versa
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342 | */
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343 | private boolean isGood( Bid reBid, Bid nextBid ) {
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344 |
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345 | if ( oppBids.isEmpty() || !oppBids.contains(reBid) ) // اگر این بید را قبلا دریافت نکرده باشیم اضافه کن
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346 | oppBids.add(reBid);
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347 |
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348 |
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349 |
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350 | if ( myModel2.getUtilityForBid(reBid) < rValue )
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351 | return false;
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352 |
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353 | if ( reBid.equals(nextBid) )
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354 | return true;
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355 |
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356 | if ( myBids.contains(reBid) )
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357 | return true;
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358 |
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359 | if ( myModel2.getUtilityForBid(reBid) >= myModel2.getUtilityForBid(nextBid) )
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360 | return true;
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361 |
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362 | for ( Bid b : myBids )
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363 | if ( myModel2.getUtilityForBid(reBid) >= myModel2.getUtilityForBid(b)+ 0.07 )
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364 | return true;
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365 |
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366 |
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367 | double currentAgreementSimilarityThreshold = ((1 - Pagreement) > agreementSimilarityThreshold) ?
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368 | (1 - Pagreement) :
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369 | agreementSimilarityThreshold;
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370 |
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371 | return (getAcceptanceProbability(reBid, nextBid) > currentAgreementSimilarityThreshold ? true : false) &&
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372 | myModel2.getUtilityForBid(reBid) > rValue;
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373 |
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374 |
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375 | }
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376 |
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377 | /**
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378 | *
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379 | * @param reBid Last Received Bid From Opponent
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380 | * @param nextBid the next bid that we prepare send to opponent
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381 | *
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382 | * @return double value that determine maximum
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383 | * similarity (1-distance) value of received
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384 | * bid from opponent to our sent bids
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385 | */
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386 | private double getAcceptanceProbability( Bid reBid,Bid nextBid) {
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387 |
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388 | double t = Double.MAX_VALUE;
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389 |
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390 | double reBidU = myModel2.getUtilityForBid(reBid);
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391 |
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392 | //for ( Bid b : oppBids ) {
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393 | for ( Bid b : myBids ) {
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394 | double temp = 1 - Math.abs( myModel2.getUtilityForBid(b) - reBidU );
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395 | if( temp < t ) {
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396 | t = temp;
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397 | }
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398 | }
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399 |
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400 | double nextBidU = myModel2.getUtilityForBid( nextBid );
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401 | if ( ( 1 - Math.abs( nextBidU - reBidU ) ) < t )
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402 | return ( 1 - Math.abs( nextBidU - reBidU ) );
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403 |
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404 | return t;
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405 |
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406 | }
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407 |
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408 |
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409 |
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410 | /**
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411 | *
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412 | * @param the Agreement probability of the bid that we
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413 | * want decide about its elicitation must be more than it.
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414 | *
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415 | * @return the best bid and its utility (MyBidDetails object) in the
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416 | * set of bids which we know about its order.
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417 | */
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418 | private MyBidDetails getBestBidInKnownSet( double Pagreement1, boolean elicitation ) {
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419 |
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420 |
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421 | for ( int i = bidOrder.size()-1; i > 0; i-- ) {
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422 | double Pat = getAgreementProbability( bidOrder.get(i) );
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423 | if ( Pat >= Pagreement1 && myModel2.getUtilityForBid( bidOrder.get(i) ) > myModel2.getUtilityForBid( bidOrder.get(i) )/2 ) {
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424 | if ( myBids.size() > 1 )
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425 | if ( myModel2.getUtilityForBid( myBids.get(myBids.size()-1) ) - myModel2.getUtilityForBid(bidOrder.get(i)) > 0.3 )
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426 | if ( myModel2.getUtilityForBid(bidOrder.get(i))-0.3 > 0 )
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427 | return new MyBidDetails(bidOrder.get(i), myModel2.getUtilityForBid(bidOrder.get(i))-0.3);
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428 | else
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429 | return new MyBidDetails(null, 0.0);
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430 |
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431 | return new MyBidDetails(bidOrder.get(i), myModel2.getUtilityForBid(bidOrder.get(i)) );
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432 | }
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433 | }
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434 |
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435 |
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436 |
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437 | return new MyBidDetails(null, 0.0);
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438 |
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439 | /*
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440 | if ( myBids.size() > 0 ) {
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441 |
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442 | if( myModel2.getUtilityForBid( myBids.get( myBids.size()-1 ))-(numberOfSameConsecutiveBidInMyBids*0.1) > 0 )
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443 | return new MyBidDetails(myBids.get( myBids.size()-1 ), myModel2.getUtilityForBid( myBids.get( myBids.size()-1 ))-(numberOfSameConsecutiveBidInMyBids*0.1) );
|
---|
444 | else
|
---|
445 | return new MyBidDetails(myBids.get( myBids.size()-1 ), 0.0 );
|
---|
446 |
|
---|
447 | }
|
---|
448 | else
|
---|
449 | return new MyBidDetails(bidOrder.get( bidOrder.size()-1 ), myModel2.getUtilityForBid( bidOrder.get( bidOrder.size()-1 )) );
|
---|
450 | */
|
---|
451 |
|
---|
452 | }
|
---|
453 |
|
---|
454 | /**
|
---|
455 | *
|
---|
456 | * @param Pagreement2 the Agreement probability of the bid that we
|
---|
457 | * want decide about its elicitation must be more than it.
|
---|
458 | *
|
---|
459 | * @return the best bid in the bids set that we don't know about
|
---|
460 | * their orders respect to if we would elicit it.
|
---|
461 | */
|
---|
462 | private MyBidDetails getBestBidInUnKnownSet( double Pagreement2 ) {
|
---|
463 |
|
---|
464 | /*
|
---|
465 | * for decrease the size of variety Check the probabilities
|
---|
466 | * we check only bids with high estimation rank and high utility
|
---|
467 | */
|
---|
468 |
|
---|
469 |
|
---|
470 |
|
---|
471 | int estimateBidRank = 0;
|
---|
472 |
|
---|
473 | double EEu = 0;
|
---|
474 | Bid bestBid = null;
|
---|
475 |
|
---|
476 |
|
---|
477 | for ( Bid bid : allBids) {
|
---|
478 |
|
---|
479 | if ( !bidOrder.contains(bid) ) {
|
---|
480 |
|
---|
481 | double Pat = getAgreementProbability(bid);
|
---|
482 |
|
---|
483 |
|
---|
484 |
|
---|
485 |
|
---|
486 | if( Pat > Pagreement2 /*&& myModel2.getUtilityForBid(bid) > bidThreshold*/ ) {
|
---|
487 |
|
---|
488 | estimateBidRank = getEstimateBidRank(bid);
|
---|
489 |
|
---|
490 | if ( estimateBidRank >= (bidOrder.size()-1)-howManyRankMustBeChecked ) {
|
---|
491 |
|
---|
492 | double tempEu = getNewEu(estimateBidRank, bid);
|
---|
493 |
|
---|
494 | double tempEEu = tempEu/*Pat*/;
|
---|
495 |
|
---|
496 | if ( tempEEu > EEu ) {
|
---|
497 | EEu = tempEEu;
|
---|
498 | bestBid = bid;
|
---|
499 | }
|
---|
500 |
|
---|
501 | }
|
---|
502 | }
|
---|
503 | }
|
---|
504 |
|
---|
505 | }
|
---|
506 | if ( bestBid != null )
|
---|
507 | return new MyBidDetails(bestBid, EEu);
|
---|
508 |
|
---|
509 | else
|
---|
510 | return new MyBidDetails(null, 0.0);
|
---|
511 |
|
---|
512 |
|
---|
513 |
|
---|
514 | }
|
---|
515 |
|
---|
516 |
|
---|
517 |
|
---|
518 | /**
|
---|
519 | *
|
---|
520 | * @param bid the bid we want estimate about its bid rank
|
---|
521 | * with our current knowledge
|
---|
522 | * @return estimated bid rank
|
---|
523 | */
|
---|
524 | private int getEstimateBidRank( Bid bid ) {
|
---|
525 |
|
---|
526 |
|
---|
527 | double tempU = myModel2.getUtilityForBid(bid);
|
---|
528 |
|
---|
529 | int rank = 0;
|
---|
530 | for ( Bid b : bidOrder ) {
|
---|
531 |
|
---|
532 | double bU = myModel2.getUtilityForBid(b);
|
---|
533 |
|
---|
534 | if ( tempU <= bU ) {
|
---|
535 | break;
|
---|
536 | }
|
---|
537 | else
|
---|
538 | rank++;
|
---|
539 |
|
---|
540 | }
|
---|
541 | if ( rank == 0 )
|
---|
542 | rank = 1;
|
---|
543 |
|
---|
544 | return rank;
|
---|
545 |
|
---|
546 |
|
---|
547 | }
|
---|
548 |
|
---|
549 | /**
|
---|
550 | *
|
---|
551 | * @param rank the rank of the bid that we estimate with current knowledge
|
---|
552 | * @param bid the bid which we want estimate its utility if it is elicited
|
---|
553 | * @return the our expected utility of bid that if we would elicite it
|
---|
554 | */
|
---|
555 | private double getNewEu(int rank, Bid bid) {
|
---|
556 |
|
---|
557 | expectedValue.clear();
|
---|
558 | expectedValue = getNewExpectedValue(rank);
|
---|
559 |
|
---|
560 | double newEU = 0;
|
---|
561 | int bidOrderSize2 = bidOrder.size();
|
---|
562 |
|
---|
563 | if ( rank == bidOrderSize2-1 )
|
---|
564 | return myModel2.getUtilityForBid(bid);
|
---|
565 |
|
---|
566 | int aJ = 0;
|
---|
567 | for (int j = rank; j <= Integer.min(rank+afterRank, bidOrderSize2-1); j++) { // ما بعد
|
---|
568 |
|
---|
569 | List<Bid> bidOrderProbability2 = new ArrayList<Bid>();
|
---|
570 |
|
---|
571 | for ( Bid b : bidOrder )
|
---|
572 | bidOrderProbability2.add(b);
|
---|
573 |
|
---|
574 | double probabilityBelong = expectedValue.get(j-1);//*bidOrderSize2;
|
---|
575 |
|
---|
576 | bidOrderProbability2.add(j, bid);
|
---|
577 |
|
---|
578 | GravityEs modelProbability2 = new GravityEs(domain, bidOrderProbability2);
|
---|
579 |
|
---|
580 | newEU += probabilityBelong*( modelProbability2.getUtilityForBid(bid) );
|
---|
581 | aJ++;
|
---|
582 | }
|
---|
583 | if ( rank > 1 ) {
|
---|
584 | for (int j = rank-1; j > Integer.min( Integer.max(0,aJ-1), Integer.max(0, rank-beforeRank)); j--) { // ما قبل
|
---|
585 |
|
---|
586 | List<Bid> bidOrderProbability1 = new ArrayList<Bid>();
|
---|
587 |
|
---|
588 | for ( Bid b : bidOrder )
|
---|
589 | bidOrderProbability1.add(b);
|
---|
590 |
|
---|
591 | double probabilityBelong = expectedValue.get(j-1);//*bidOrderSize2;
|
---|
592 | bidOrderProbability1.add(j, bid);
|
---|
593 |
|
---|
594 | GravityEs modelProbability1 = new GravityEs(domain, bidOrderProbability1);
|
---|
595 |
|
---|
596 | newEU += probabilityBelong*( modelProbability1.getUtilityForBid(bid) );
|
---|
597 |
|
---|
598 | }
|
---|
599 | }
|
---|
600 |
|
---|
601 |
|
---|
602 |
|
---|
603 | return newEU;
|
---|
604 |
|
---|
605 | }
|
---|
606 |
|
---|
607 | /**
|
---|
608 | *
|
---|
609 | * @param rank the rank of the bid that we estimate with current knowledge
|
---|
610 | * @return probability distribution of bid in variety ranks,
|
---|
611 | * that we want decide about its elicitation
|
---|
612 | */
|
---|
613 | private List<Double> getNewExpectedValue(int rank)
|
---|
614 | {
|
---|
615 |
|
---|
616 | double certainty = (double)bidOrder.size()/allBidSize;
|
---|
617 |
|
---|
618 | List<Double> expectedValue = new ArrayList<Double>();
|
---|
619 | for ( int i = 0; i < bidOrder.size(); i++ )
|
---|
620 | expectedValue.add((double)1.0/(bidOrder.size()-1));
|
---|
621 |
|
---|
622 |
|
---|
623 | double temp1 = expectedValue.size();
|
---|
624 | for (int i = rank; i > 0; i--) {
|
---|
625 | double ttemp = expectedValue.get(i-1);
|
---|
626 | expectedValue.remove( i-1);
|
---|
627 | expectedValue.add( i-1, (temp1*certainty)+ttemp);
|
---|
628 | temp1--;
|
---|
629 | }
|
---|
630 |
|
---|
631 | double temp2 = expectedValue.size()-1;
|
---|
632 | for ( int i = rank+1; i<= expectedValue.size(); i++) {
|
---|
633 | double ttemp = expectedValue.get(i-1);
|
---|
634 | expectedValue.remove( i-1);
|
---|
635 | expectedValue.add( i-1, (temp2*certainty)+ttemp );
|
---|
636 | temp2--;
|
---|
637 | }
|
---|
638 |
|
---|
639 |
|
---|
640 |
|
---|
641 | double n = 0;
|
---|
642 | for ( double t : expectedValue )
|
---|
643 | n += t;
|
---|
644 |
|
---|
645 | for (int i = 0; i < expectedValue.size(); i++) {
|
---|
646 | double tTemp = expectedValue.get(i);
|
---|
647 | expectedValue.remove(i);
|
---|
648 | expectedValue.add(i, (double)tTemp/n );
|
---|
649 | }
|
---|
650 |
|
---|
651 | return expectedValue;
|
---|
652 |
|
---|
653 | }
|
---|
654 |
|
---|
655 |
|
---|
656 | private double f(double t) {
|
---|
657 | if (e == 0)
|
---|
658 | return k;
|
---|
659 | double ft = k + (1 - k) * Math.pow(t, 1 / e);
|
---|
660 |
|
---|
661 | return ft;
|
---|
662 | }
|
---|
663 |
|
---|
664 | /**
|
---|
665 | *
|
---|
666 | * @param t Time (if we want use time for compute concession rate)
|
---|
667 | * @return double value that the agent must be found
|
---|
668 | * a bid that has Agreement Probability more than it.
|
---|
669 | */
|
---|
670 | private double getPagreement(double t) {
|
---|
671 |
|
---|
672 | //if ( reservationBid != null || t <= 0.7 )
|
---|
673 | return Pagreement+0.01;
|
---|
674 | //else
|
---|
675 | //return Pagreement+0.01; // 0.02
|
---|
676 | //return 1 - ( myEstimateMin + (myEstimateMax - myEstimateMin) * (1 - f(t)) );
|
---|
677 | }
|
---|
678 |
|
---|
679 |
|
---|
680 | /**
|
---|
681 | *
|
---|
682 | * Opponent Model
|
---|
683 | *
|
---|
684 | * @param bid the bid want to know its agreement probability
|
---|
685 | * with opponent
|
---|
686 | *
|
---|
687 | * @return double value which determine opponent agreement
|
---|
688 | * probability of the bid
|
---|
689 | *
|
---|
690 | */
|
---|
691 | private double getAgreementProbability(Bid bid) {
|
---|
692 |
|
---|
693 |
|
---|
694 | if ( oppBids.isEmpty() ) { // if we don't got any bid from opponent
|
---|
695 | return 1.0;
|
---|
696 | }
|
---|
697 | if ( myBids.contains(bid) ) { // if we sent this bid before
|
---|
698 | return opponentConcesionRate*progress.get(System.currentTimeMillis());
|
---|
699 | }
|
---|
700 | if ( oppBids.contains(bid) ) { // if this bid is one of previous bids that we got from opponent
|
---|
701 | return 1.0;
|
---|
702 | }
|
---|
703 |
|
---|
704 |
|
---|
705 | double t = Double.MAX_VALUE;
|
---|
706 |
|
---|
707 | for ( Bid b : oppBids ) {
|
---|
708 |
|
---|
709 | double temp = 1 - Math.abs( opModel.getOpponentUtilitySpace().getUtility(b) - opModel.getOpponentUtilitySpace().getUtility(bid) );
|
---|
710 |
|
---|
711 | if( temp < t ) {
|
---|
712 | t = temp;
|
---|
713 | }
|
---|
714 |
|
---|
715 | }
|
---|
716 |
|
---|
717 |
|
---|
718 | return t;
|
---|
719 |
|
---|
720 |
|
---|
721 | }
|
---|
722 |
|
---|
723 |
|
---|
724 |
|
---|
725 |
|
---|
726 | //**********************************************************
|
---|
727 | //**********************************************************
|
---|
728 | //**********************************************************
|
---|
729 | //*********************** Test *************************
|
---|
730 | //**********************************************************
|
---|
731 | //**********************************************************
|
---|
732 | //**********************************************************
|
---|
733 |
|
---|
734 |
|
---|
735 | private void log(Object o) {
|
---|
736 |
|
---|
737 | System.err.println(o);
|
---|
738 |
|
---|
739 | }
|
---|
740 |
|
---|
741 | private void log2(Object o) {
|
---|
742 |
|
---|
743 | System.out.println(o);
|
---|
744 |
|
---|
745 | }
|
---|
746 |
|
---|
747 |
|
---|
748 |
|
---|
749 |
|
---|
750 |
|
---|
751 | }
|
---|