source: src/main/java/parties/in4010/q12015/group8/OpponentModel.java@ 127

package parties.in4010.q12015.group8;

import java.util.HashMap;
import java.util.List;

import genius.core.Bid;
import genius.core.issue.Issue;
import genius.core.issue.IssueDiscrete;
import genius.core.issue.Value;
import genius.core.issue.ValueDiscrete;
import genius.core.utility.AdditiveUtilitySpace;

public class OpponentModel {
        private static final double FREQUENCY_THRESHOLD = 0.95;
        private static final double ACCURACY_THRESHOLD = 0.8;
        private static final double NEGLIGIBLE_WEIGHT_THRESHOLD = 0.05;

        private HashMap<Issue, HashMap<Value, Double>> frequencies = new HashMap<Issue, HashMap<Value, Double>>();
        private HashMap<Issue, Double> weights = new HashMap<Issue, Double>();
        private double totalBids = 0.0;
        private Bid previousBid = null;
        private int updatedIssues = 0;
        private AdditiveUtilitySpace utilitySpace;

        /**
         * Create OppentModel for current utility space
         * 
         * @param utilitySpace
         */
        public OpponentModel(AdditiveUtilitySpace utilitySpace) {
                this.utilitySpace = utilitySpace;
                for (Issue issue : utilitySpace.getDomain().getIssues()) {
                        List<ValueDiscrete> values = ((IssueDiscrete) issue).getValues();
                        HashMap<Value, Double> valueMap = new HashMap<Value, Double>();

                        for (Value value : values) {
                                valueMap.put(value, 0.0);
                        }

                        frequencies.put(issue, valueMap);
                        weights.put(issue, 1.0 / utilitySpace.getDomain().getIssues()
                                        .size());
                }
        }

        public void updateOpponentModel(Bid bid) {
                totalBids += 1.0;
                for (int issueIndex = 0; issueIndex < bid.getIssues().size(); issueIndex++) {
                        // Update frequency values
                        updateFrequency(bid, issueIndex);
                        // Update issue weights
                        updateWeights(bid, issueIndex);
                }

                for (int issueIndex = 0; issueIndex < bid.getIssues().size(); issueIndex++) {
                        double issueWeight = weights.get(bid.getIssues().get(issueIndex));
                        issueWeight = issueWeight / (1 + (0.1 * updatedIssues));
                        weights.put(bid.getIssues().get(issueIndex), issueWeight);
                }
                previousBid = bid;
                updatedIssues = 0;

                // To test / check values of all weights and frequencies.
                /*
                 * for (Issue issue : utilitySpace.getDomain().getIssues()) {
                 * List<ValueDiscrete> values = ((IssueDiscrete)issue).getValues(); for
                 * (Value value : values) { System.out.println("Frequencies:" + value +
                 * "   " + getFrequency(issue, value)); }
                 * 
                 * System.out.println("Weight:" + issue.toString() + "   " +
                 * getWeight(issue)); } System.out.println(totalBids);
                 */
        }

        public void updateFrequency(Bid bid, int issueIndex) {
                Issue curIssue = bid.getIssues().get(issueIndex);
                Value issueValue = findValue(bid, issueIndex);
                // Update evals : Get the Map with values of the issue and their
                // respective evals
                HashMap<Value, Double> valueMap = frequencies.get(curIssue);
                valueMap.put(issueValue, (valueMap.get(issueValue) + 1.0));
                frequencies.put(curIssue, valueMap);
        }

        public void updateWeights(Bid bid, int issueIndex) {
                if (previousBid != null) {
                        Issue curIssue = bid.getIssues().get(issueIndex);
                        Value issueValue = findValue(bid, issueIndex);
                        Value oldIssueValue = findValue(previousBid, issueIndex);
                        if (issueValue.equals(oldIssueValue)) {
                                double issueWeight = weights.get(curIssue);
                                issueWeight += 0.1;
                                weights.put(curIssue, issueWeight);
                                updatedIssues += 1;
                        }
                }
        }

        /**
         * Checks if this opponent model is accurate.
         * 
         * @return
         */
        public boolean isAccurate() {
                double accurate = 0;

                for (Issue issue : utilitySpace.getDomain().getIssues()) {
                        List<ValueDiscrete> values = ((IssueDiscrete) issue).getValues();
                        for (Value value : values) {
                                if (getFrequency(issue, value) >= FREQUENCY_THRESHOLD) {
                                        accurate++;
                                        break; // we think that this issue is accurate enough
                                }
                        }
                }

                return (accurate / utilitySpace.getDomain().getIssues().size()) > ACCURACY_THRESHOLD;
        }

        /**
         * Returns dangerous bids based on the current frequency analysis. Watch out
         * that this is only accurate after a couple of rounds.
         * 
         * @return
         */
        public boolean isDangerousBid(Bid bid) {

                boolean dangerous = true;
                for (Issue issue : bid.getIssues()) {
                        if (getWeight(issue) < NEGLIGIBLE_WEIGHT_THRESHOLD)
                                continue; // could be dangerous because doesn't matter

                        try {
                                if (getFrequency(issue, bid.getValue(issue.getNumber())) < FREQUENCY_THRESHOLD) {
                                        dangerous = false;
                                }
                        } catch (Exception e) {
                                // TODO Auto-generated catch block
                                e.printStackTrace();
                                dangerous = false;
                        }
                }

                return dangerous;
        }

        /**
         * @param bid
         * @param issueIndex
         * @return the picked value for given issue idnumber
         */
        private Value findValue(Bid bid, int issueIndex) {
                Value issueValue = null;
                try {
                        issueValue = bid.getValue(issueIndex + 1);
                } catch (Exception e) {
                        e.printStackTrace();
                }
                return issueValue;
        }

        public double getWeight(Issue issue) {
                return weights.get(issue);
        }

        public double getFrequency(Issue issue, Value value) {
                return frequencies.get(issue).get(value) / totalBids;
        }

}