1 | package agents.ai2014.group11;
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2 |
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3 | import java.util.ArrayList;
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4 | import java.util.Collections;
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5 | import java.util.Comparator;
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6 | import java.util.HashMap;
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7 | import java.util.List;
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8 | import java.util.Map.Entry;
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9 | import java.util.Random;
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10 |
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11 | import agents.ai2014.group11.OpponentUtilityModel.InvalidBidException;
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12 | import agents.ai2014.group11.OpponentUtilityModel.InvalidDomainException;
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13 | import genius.core.AgentID;
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14 | import genius.core.Bid;
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15 | import genius.core.BidHistory;
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16 | import genius.core.DeadlineType;
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17 | import genius.core.actions.Accept;
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18 | import genius.core.actions.Action;
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19 | import genius.core.actions.DefaultAction;
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20 | import genius.core.actions.EndNegotiation;
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21 | import genius.core.actions.Inform;
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22 | import genius.core.actions.Offer;
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23 | import genius.core.bidding.BidDetails;
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24 | import genius.core.boaframework.SortedOutcomeSpace;
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25 | import genius.core.misc.Range;
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26 | import genius.core.parties.AbstractNegotiationParty;
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27 | import genius.core.parties.NegotiationInfo;
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28 |
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29 | /**
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30 | * This is your negotiation party.
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31 | */
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32 | public class Group11 extends AbstractNegotiationParty {
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33 |
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34 | private SortedOutcomeSpace possibleBids;
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35 | private ArrayList<BidDetailsWithNash> nashBids;
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36 | private HashMap<Object, OpponentUtilityModel> opponents;
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37 | private BidHistory allBids;
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38 | private int round;
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39 | private double lastUtility;
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40 | private static final double startReservationUtility = 0.95;
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41 | private double reservationUtility = startReservationUtility;
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42 |
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43 | private int lastAcceptCount;
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44 |
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45 | /**
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46 | * Please keep this constructor. This is called by genius.
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47 | *
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48 | * @param utilitySpace
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49 | * Your utility space.
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50 | * @param deadlines
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51 | * The deadlines set for this negotiation.
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52 | * @param timeline
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53 | * Value counting from 0 (start) to 1 (end).
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54 | * @param randomSeed
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55 | * If you use any randomization, use this seed for it.
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56 | */
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57 | @Override
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58 | public void init(NegotiationInfo info) {
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59 | super.init(info);
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60 |
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61 | this.round = 0;
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62 | this.lastUtility = 1;
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63 |
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64 | // create a list of bids
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65 | possibleBids = new SortedOutcomeSpace(utilitySpace);
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66 | allBids = new BidHistory();
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67 | opponents = new HashMap<Object, OpponentUtilityModel>();
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68 |
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69 | utilitySpace.setReservationValue(reservationUtility);
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70 | }
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71 |
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72 | /**
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73 | * Convenience method to make a new offer and save the relevant information
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74 | *
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75 | * @param bid
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76 | * @return
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77 | */
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78 | private Offer bid(Bid bid) {
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79 | BidDetails bd = new BidDetails(bid, getUtility(bid));
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80 | lastUtility = bd.getMyUndiscountedUtil();
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81 | allBids.add(bd);
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82 | return new Offer(getPartyId(), bid);
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83 | }
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84 |
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85 | /**
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86 | * Each round this method gets called and ask you to accept or offer. The
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87 | * first party in the first round is a bit different, it can only propose an
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88 | * offer.
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89 | *
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90 | * @param validActions
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91 | * Either a list containing both accept and offer or only offer.
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92 | * @return The chosen action.
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93 | */
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94 | @Override
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95 | public Action chooseAction(List<Class<? extends Action>> validActions) {
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96 | this.round++;
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97 | double currentTime = getTime();
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98 | // if we are the first party, make the best offer.
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99 | if (!validActions.contains(Accept.class))
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100 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.ASOCIAL);
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101 |
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102 | // Give in to our reservation value in the endgame;
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103 | double timeTostartGiveInReservationValue = 0.9;
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104 | if (currentTime > timeTostartGiveInReservationValue) {
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105 | double giveInProgress = (currentTime - timeTostartGiveInReservationValue)
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106 | / (1 - timeTostartGiveInReservationValue);
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107 | reservationUtility = startReservationUtility - (0.4 * giveInProgress);
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108 | utilitySpace.setReservationValue(reservationUtility);
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109 | }
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110 |
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111 | if (previousBidHasBeenAcceptedEnough()) {
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112 | reservationUtility *= 0.9;
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113 | }
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114 |
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115 | BidDetails lastBid = allBids.getLastBidDetails();
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116 |
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117 | if (currentTime > 0.95 || (lastBid != null && lastBid.getMyUndiscountedUtil() > reservationUtility)) {
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118 | return new Accept(getPartyId(), lastBid.getBid());
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119 | } else {
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120 | // Short negotiation
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121 | if (thereWillNeverBeATrustedOpponentModel()) {
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122 | if (previousBidHasBeenAcceptedEnough())
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123 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.EDGEPUSHER);
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124 | else {
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125 | // No consensus yet
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126 | if (currentTime < 0.25) {
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127 | // First quarter:
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128 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.HARDTOGET);
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129 | } else if (currentTime < 0.5) {
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130 | // Second quarter:
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131 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.NOSTALGIAN);
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132 | } else {
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133 | // Last half:
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134 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.GIVEIN);
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135 | }
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136 | }
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137 | } else {
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138 | // Long negotiation
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139 | if (weTrustOurOpponentModel()) {
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140 | // Enough rounds have passed
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141 | sortOutcomeSpaceOnNashProduct();
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142 |
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143 | int unknownCounter = 0;
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144 | int modifyPreviousCounter = 0;
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145 | int modifySelfCounter = 0;
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146 | for (Entry<Object, OpponentUtilityModel> e : opponents.entrySet()) {
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147 | switch (e.getValue().getMostLikelyStrategy()) {
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148 | case UNKNOWN:
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149 | unknownCounter++;
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150 | break;
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151 | case MODIFY_PREVIOUS:
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152 | modifyPreviousCounter++;
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153 | break;
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154 | case MODIFY_SELF:
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155 | modifySelfCounter++;
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156 | break;
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157 | }
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158 | }
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159 |
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160 | if (unknownCounter >= modifyPreviousCounter && unknownCounter >= modifySelfCounter)
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161 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.BESTNASH);
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162 | else if (modifyPreviousCounter >= modifySelfCounter)
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163 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.EDGEPUSHER);
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164 | else
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165 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.BESTNASH);
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166 | } else {
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167 | // Build opponent model
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168 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.RANDOM);
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169 | }
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170 | }
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171 | }
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172 | }
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173 |
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174 | /**
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175 | * The minimum required rounds needed to make an opponent model
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176 | */
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177 | private static final int numberOfRoundForOpponentModel = 50;
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178 |
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179 | /**
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180 | * Determine whether we will ever have an opponent model significant enough
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181 | *
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182 | * @return true iff there will never be a trusted opponent model
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183 | */
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184 | private boolean thereWillNeverBeATrustedOpponentModel() {
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185 | return (round / getTime()) < numberOfRoundForOpponentModel;
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186 | }
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187 |
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188 | /**
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189 | * Determine whether the current opponent model is trustworthy based on the
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190 | * amount of rounds passed
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191 | *
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192 | * @return true iff the opponent model is trusted
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193 | */
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194 | private boolean weTrustOurOpponentModel() {
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195 | return round > numberOfRoundForOpponentModel;
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196 | }
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197 |
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198 | /**
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199 | * Determine whether the previous bid has been accepted many times by other
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200 | * parties
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201 | *
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202 | * @return true iff enough parties have accepted the previous bid
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203 | */
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204 | private boolean previousBidHasBeenAcceptedEnough() {
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205 | // 0.7, because 2 otherParties, should result in 1 required accept
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206 | int requiredAccepts = (int) ((getNumberOfParties() - 1) * 0.7);
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207 | return lastAcceptCount != 0 && lastAcceptCount >= requiredAccepts;
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208 | }
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209 |
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210 | /**
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211 | * Definition of the available tactics for this agent.
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212 | *
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213 | * RANDOM - Offer a random bid above your reservation value BESTNASH - Offer
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214 | * the best Nash bid according to opponent models NOSTALGIAN - Offer the
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215 | * best bid that has ever been done by any agent ASOCIAL - Offer the best
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216 | * bid possible for you HARDTOGET - Offer a bid of 0.99 * the previous
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217 | * utility EDGEPUSHER - Offer a bid slightly better than the one before
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218 | * GIVEIN - Offer a bid near your reservation value THEFINGER - Leave the
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219 | * negotiation
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220 | */
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221 | private enum Tactics {
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222 | RANDOM, BESTNASH, NOSTALGIAN, ASOCIAL, HARDTOGET, EDGEPUSHER, GIVEIN, THEFINGER
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223 | }
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224 |
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225 | /**
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226 | * Based on a specific tactic and the internal parameters, this will give an
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227 | * action to perform.
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228 | *
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229 | * @param t
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230 | * @return
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231 | */
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232 | private Action getActionForTactic(Tactics t) {
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233 | // System.out.println("Round " + round + " | Tactic: " + t);
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234 | switch (t) {
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235 | case RANDOM:
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236 | // We don't want to bid under our reservation value
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237 | List<BidDetails> randomBids = possibleBids
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238 | .getBidsinRange(new Range(getUtilitySpace().getReservationValue(), 1));
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239 | if (randomBids.size() == 0) {
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240 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.GIVEIN);
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241 | } else {
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242 | return bid(randomBids.get(new Random().nextInt(randomBids.size())).getBid());
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243 | }
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244 | case BESTNASH:
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245 | // In the assumption that our opponent does not do this as well,
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246 | // else this will keep on giving the same bid
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247 | return bid(nashBids.get(nashBids.size() - 1).getBid());
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248 | case NOSTALGIAN:
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249 | return bid(allBids.getBestBidDetails().getBid());
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250 | case ASOCIAL:
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251 | return bid(possibleBids.getMaxBidPossible().getBid());
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252 | case HARDTOGET:
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253 | return getOfferFromPreviousUtil(0.99);
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254 | case EDGEPUSHER:
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255 | // do a new bid that is a little better then last
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256 | Bid lastBid = allBids.getLastBid();
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257 | double lastUtil = getUtility(lastBid);
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258 | List<BidDetails> allBetterBids = possibleBids.getBidsinRange(new Range(lastUtil, 1));
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259 | // Get first that is better, since i don't know how getBidsInRange
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260 | // is
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261 | // sorted. Also I want to avoid picking the lastBid;
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262 | for (BidDetails bd : allBetterBids) {
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263 | if (bd.getMyUndiscountedUtil() > lastUtil)
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264 | return bid(bd.getBid());
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265 | }
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266 | // No better bid to find, accept as well
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267 | return new Accept(getPartyId(), lastBid);
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268 | case GIVEIN:
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269 | if (getTime() > 0.95)
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270 | return new Accept(getPartyId(), allBids.getLastBid());
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271 | else {
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272 | // double currentTime = getTime();
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273 | // double discount = Math.max(1,
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274 | // (-1.9531 * Math.pow(currentTime, 2))
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275 | // + (2.2251 * currentTime) + 0.3626);
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276 | // discount = 1.3 - (0.6 * currentTime);
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277 | return getOfferFromPreviousUtil(0.975);
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278 | }
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279 | case THEFINGER:
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280 | return new EndNegotiation(getPartyId());
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281 | default:
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282 | break;
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283 | }
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284 |
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285 | return getActionForTactic(Tactics.ASOCIAL);
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286 | }
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287 |
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288 | /**
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289 | * Get an offer with discount times the utility of your last utility
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290 | *
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291 | * @param discount
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292 | * multiplication factor
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293 | * @return
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294 | */
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295 | private Offer getOfferFromPreviousUtil(double discount) {
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296 | BidDetails bid = possibleBids.getBidNearUtility(discount * lastUtility);
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297 | return bid(bid.getBid());
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298 | }
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299 |
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300 | /**
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301 | *
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302 | * @return the partial of rounds done, or 0 when there is no deadline
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303 | */
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304 | private double getTime() {
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305 | if (getDeadlines() != null) {
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306 | Integer d = getDeadlines().getType() == DeadlineType.ROUND ? getDeadlines().getValue() : 0;
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307 |
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308 | if (d != null && d != 0) {
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309 | return (double) this.round / (int) d;
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310 | }
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311 | }
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312 | return getTimeLine().getTime();
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313 | }
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314 |
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315 | /**
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316 | * All offers proposed by the other parties will be received as a message.
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317 | * You can use this information to your advantage, for example to predict
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318 | * their utility.
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319 | *
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320 | * @param sender
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321 | * The party that did the action.
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322 | * @param action
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323 | * The action that party did.
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324 | */
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325 | @Override
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326 | public void receiveMessage(AgentID sender, Action action) {
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327 | super.receiveMessage(sender, action);
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328 |
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329 | // Here you can listen to other parties' messages
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330 |
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331 | try {
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332 | OpponentUtilityModel opponent = opponents.get(sender);
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333 | if (opponent == null) {
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334 | opponent = new OpponentUtilityModel(getUtilitySpace().getDomain());
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335 | opponents.put(sender, opponent);
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336 | }
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337 | Bid prevousBid = allBids.getLastBid();
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338 |
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339 | // Update opponent specific history
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340 | if (action instanceof Offer) {
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341 | // Update global history
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342 | Bid bid = DefaultAction.getBidFromAction(action);
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343 | BidDetails details = new BidDetails(bid, getUtility(bid));
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344 | allBids.add(details);
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345 |
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346 | opponent.addOffer(prevousBid, bid);
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347 |
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348 | lastAcceptCount = 0;
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349 | } else if (action instanceof Accept) {
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350 | opponent.addAccept(prevousBid);
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351 |
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352 | lastAcceptCount++;
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353 | } else if (action instanceof Inform) {
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354 | // TODO handle info
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355 | // Inform inform = (Inform) action;
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356 | // if (inform.getName().equals("numParties")) {
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357 | // int numParties = ((Integer) inform.getValue()).intValue();
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358 | // for (int i = 0; i < numParties; i++) {
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359 | // System.out
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360 | // .println("Simon says: \"Welcome to the negotiation, party "
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361 | // + (i + 1) + "!\"");
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362 | // }
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363 | // }
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364 | } else {
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365 | System.out.println("WARNING :: UNKNOWN ACTION :: " + action.getClass().getCanonicalName());
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366 | }
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367 | } catch (InvalidDomainException e) {
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368 | e.printStackTrace();
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369 | } catch (InvalidBidException e) {
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370 | e.printStackTrace();
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371 | }
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372 | }
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373 |
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374 | /**
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375 | * Method to set up some of the internal parameters.
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376 | *
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377 | * Creates from the list of possible bids a list of bids sorted on Nash
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378 | * product, determined by the opponent models available.
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379 | */
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380 | private void sortOutcomeSpaceOnNashProduct() {
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381 | ArrayList<OpponentUtilityModel> opponentModels = new ArrayList<OpponentUtilityModel>();
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382 | for (Entry<Object, OpponentUtilityModel> e : opponents.entrySet()) {
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383 | opponentModels.add(e.getValue());
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384 | }
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385 |
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386 | List<BidDetails> bids = possibleBids.getAllOutcomes();
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387 | ArrayList<BidDetailsWithNash> nashes = new ArrayList<BidDetailsWithNash>();
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388 |
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389 | for (BidDetails bd : bids) {
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390 | nashes.add(new BidDetailsWithNash(bd.getBid(), getNashUtilityProduct(bd.getBid(), opponentModels)));
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391 | }
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392 |
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393 | Collections.sort(nashes, new Comparator<BidDetailsWithNash>() {
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394 | @Override
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395 | public int compare(BidDetailsWithNash lbdwn, BidDetailsWithNash rbdwn) {
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396 | // Big value (1000000000) is because else the values would be so
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397 | // small that Java would throw a 'MisuseOfContractException'
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398 | return (int) (2000000000 * (lbdwn.getEstimatedNashValue() - rbdwn.getEstimatedNashValue()));
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399 | }
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400 | });
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401 |
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402 | nashBids = nashes;
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403 | }
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404 |
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405 | /**
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406 | * Based on a list of opponent models, this function determines the Nash
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407 | * product for a certain bid.
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408 | *
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409 | * @param b
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410 | * Bid to evaluate
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411 | * @param opponentModels
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412 | * list of opponents
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413 | * @return Nash product
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414 | */
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415 | private double getNashUtilityProduct(Bid b, ArrayList<OpponentUtilityModel> opponentModels) {
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416 |
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417 | double res = getUtility(b);
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418 | for (OpponentUtilityModel m : opponentModels) {
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419 | try {
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420 | double util = m.getUtility(b);
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421 | if (!Double.isNaN(util))
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422 | res *= util;
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423 | } catch (InvalidBidException e) {
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424 | e.printStackTrace();
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425 | }
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426 | }
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427 |
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428 | return res;
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429 | }
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430 |
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431 | protected AgentID partyId = new AgentID("Group 11");
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432 |
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433 | @Override
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434 | public String getDescription() {
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435 | return "ai2014 group11";
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436 | }
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437 |
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438 | }
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