1 | package agents.ai2014.group10;
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2 |
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3 | import java.math.BigInteger;
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4 | import java.util.ArrayList;
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5 | import java.util.HashMap;
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6 | import java.util.List;
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7 | import java.util.Map.Entry;
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8 |
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9 | import genius.core.AgentID;
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10 | import genius.core.Bid;
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11 | import genius.core.actions.Accept;
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12 | import genius.core.actions.Action;
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13 | import genius.core.actions.DefaultAction;
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14 | import genius.core.actions.Offer;
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15 | import genius.core.bidding.BidDetails;
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16 | import genius.core.boaframework.SortedOutcomeSpace;
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17 | import genius.core.issue.Issue;
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18 | import genius.core.issue.Value;
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19 | import genius.core.misc.Range;
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20 | import genius.core.parties.AbstractNegotiationParty;
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21 | import genius.core.parties.NegotiationInfo;
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22 | import genius.core.utility.AdditiveUtilitySpace;
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23 | import genius.core.utility.Evaluator;
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24 |
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25 | import java.util.Random;
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26 |
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27 | /**
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28 | * This is your negotiation party.
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29 | */
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30 | public class Group10 extends AbstractNegotiationParty {
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31 |
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32 | /**
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33 | * Please keep this constructor. This is called by genius.
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34 | *
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35 | * @param utilitySpace
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36 | * Your utility space.
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37 | * @param deadlines
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38 | * The deadlines set for this negotiation.
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39 | * @param timeline
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40 | * Value counting from 0 (start) to 1 (end).
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41 | * @param randomSeed
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42 | * If you use any randomization, use this seed for it.
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43 | */
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44 | private ArrayList<Bid> high_utility_bids = null;
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45 | private OpponentBidLists opponent_bid_list;
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46 |
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47 | private final double RANDOM_WALKER_TRESHOLD = 0.6;
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48 | private final double MINIMAL_WALKER_UTILITY = 0.85;
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49 |
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50 | private final double CONCEDE_SPEED = (double) 1 / 4;
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51 | private final double CONCEDE_MINIMUM = 0.5;
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52 | private final double CONCEDE_TO = 0.5;
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53 | private Bid last_received_bid = null;
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54 | private Bid last_concede_bid = null;
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55 | private Bid final_bid = null;
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56 | private BigInteger current_step = BigInteger.valueOf(1);
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57 | private int first_to_offer = -1;
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58 | private double total_time = 0;
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59 | private double current_time = 0;
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60 |
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61 | private Random random;
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62 |
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63 | @Override
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64 | public void init(NegotiationInfo info) {
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65 | super.init(info);
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66 |
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67 | random = new Random(info.getRandomSeed());
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68 | opponent_bid_list = new OpponentBidLists((AdditiveUtilitySpace) utilitySpace, true);
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69 | total_time = timeline.getTotalTime();
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70 | }
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71 |
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72 | /**
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73 | * Each round this method gets called and ask you to accept or offer. The
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74 | * first party in the first round is a bit different, it can only propose an
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75 | * offer.
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76 | *
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77 | * @param validActions
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78 | * Either a list containing both accept and offer or only offer.
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79 | * @return The chosen action.
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80 | */
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81 | @SuppressWarnings("rawtypes")
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82 | @Override
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83 | public Action chooseAction(List<Class<? extends Action>> validActions) {
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84 | // with 50% chance, counter offer
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85 | // if we are the first party, also offer.
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86 | double time_left = (total_time - current_time - 1);
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87 | double time_after_walker = ((total_time - 1) * (1.0 - RANDOM_WALKER_TRESHOLD));
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88 | double temp = (time_left - 1.0) / time_after_walker;
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89 | double treshold = CONCEDE_TO + Math.pow(temp, CONCEDE_SPEED) / 2;
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90 | double last_utility;
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91 | try {
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92 | last_utility = utilitySpace.getUtility(last_received_bid);
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93 | } catch (Exception e) {
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94 | last_utility = 1.0;
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95 | }
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96 | if (first_to_offer == -1) {
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97 | if (!validActions.contains(Accept.class)) {
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98 | first_to_offer = 1;
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99 | } else {
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100 | first_to_offer = 0;
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101 | }
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102 | }
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103 | if (!validActions.contains(Accept.class)
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104 | || (last_utility < treshold && (time_left > 1 || first_to_offer == 1))) {
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105 | if ((current_time / total_time) < RANDOM_WALKER_TRESHOLD) {
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106 | final_bid = randomWalker();
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107 | } else {
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108 | if ((int) time_left < 3) {
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109 | // Opponent is not conceding. Deadline has been reached.
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110 | // Let them taste a bit of their own medicine. (They have to
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111 | // accept!)
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112 | try {
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113 | final_bid = utilitySpace.getMaxUtilityBid();
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114 | } catch (Exception e) {
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115 | // fail safe
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116 | final_bid = randomWalker();
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117 | }
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118 | } else {
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119 | ArrayList<Object> senders = opponent_bid_list.getSenders();
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120 | ArrayList<Entry<Pair<Integer, Value>, Integer>> pair_frequency = opponent_bid_list
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121 | .getMostFrequentIssueValues(senders.get(0));
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122 | ArrayList<Entry<Pair<Integer, Value>, Double>> weighted_list = opponent_bid_list
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123 | .weightIssueValues(pair_frequency);
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124 | final_bid = concederBid(weighted_list);
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125 | }
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126 | }
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127 | current_time++;
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128 | return new Offer(getPartyId(), final_bid);
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129 |
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130 | } else {
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131 | current_time++;
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132 | return new Accept(getPartyId(), last_received_bid);
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133 | }
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134 | }
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135 |
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136 | /**
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137 | * All offers proposed by the other parties will be received as a message.
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138 | * You can use this information to your advantage, for example to predict
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139 | * their utility.
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140 | *
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141 | * @param sender
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142 | * The party that did the action.
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143 | * @param action
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144 | * The action that party did.
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145 | */
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146 | @Override
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147 | public void receiveMessage(AgentID sender, Action action) {
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148 | super.receiveMessage(sender, action);
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149 |
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150 | // Here you can listen to other parties' messages
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151 | Bid bid = DefaultAction.getBidFromAction(action);
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152 | if (bid != null) {
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153 | opponent_bid_list.insertBid(sender, bid);
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154 | last_received_bid = bid;
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155 | }
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156 | }
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157 |
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158 | private Bid concederBid(ArrayList<Entry<Pair<Integer, Value>, Double>> ordered_pair) {
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159 | int actions_left = (int) (total_time - current_time - 1);
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160 | int actions_after_walker = (int) (total_time * (1.0 - RANDOM_WALKER_TRESHOLD));
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161 | Bid average_bid = randomWalker();
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162 | // calculate how far in the pairset the best bid occured
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163 | List<Issue> issues = average_bid.getIssues();
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164 | HashMap<Integer, Value> values = average_bid.getValues();
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165 | ArrayList<Pair<Integer, Value>> issue_pairs = new ArrayList<Pair<Integer, Value>>();
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166 | for (int i = 0; i < values.size(); i++) {
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167 | Integer issue_id = issues.get(i).getNumber();
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168 | Value value_id = values.get(i + 1);
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169 | issue_pairs.add(new Pair<Integer, Value>(issue_id, value_id));
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170 | }
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171 | int max_index = 0;
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172 | for (int i = 0; i < issue_pairs.size(); i++) {
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173 | int index = -1;
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174 | for (int j = 0; j < ordered_pair.size(); j++) {
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175 | Pair<Integer, Value> pair = ordered_pair.get(j).getKey();
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176 | if (pair.equals(issue_pairs.get(i))) {
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177 | index = j;
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178 | break;
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179 | }
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180 | }
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181 | if (index != -1 && index > max_index) {
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182 | max_index = index;
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183 | }
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184 | }
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185 | BigInteger total_steps = BigInteger.valueOf(2).pow(max_index);
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186 | BigInteger steps_per_action = total_steps.divide(BigInteger.valueOf(actions_after_walker));
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187 | BigInteger previous_step = current_step;
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188 | current_step = steps_per_action.multiply(BigInteger.valueOf(actions_after_walker - actions_left));
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189 |
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190 | Bid concede_bid;
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191 |
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192 | try {
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193 | concede_bid = utilitySpace.getMaxUtilityBid();
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194 | if (last_concede_bid == null) {
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195 | last_concede_bid = concede_bid;
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196 | }
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197 | } catch (Exception e) {
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198 | // fail safe
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199 | concede_bid = average_bid;
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200 | }
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201 |
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202 | // binary concede bid
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203 | concede_bid = generateConcedeBid(current_step, concede_bid, ordered_pair, max_index);
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204 | for (BigInteger i = previous_step; i.compareTo(current_step) == -1; i = i.add(BigInteger.valueOf(1))) {
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205 | Bid new_bid = new Bid(concede_bid);
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206 | new_bid = generateConcedeBid(i, new_bid, ordered_pair, max_index);
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207 | try {
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208 | if (utilitySpace.getUtility(new_bid) > utilitySpace.getUtility(concede_bid)) {
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209 | // System.out.println("===\n new_bid:
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210 | // "+utilitySpace.getUtility(new_bid)+" concede_bid:
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211 | // "+utilitySpace.getUtility(concede_bid));
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212 | concede_bid = new_bid;
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213 | }
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214 | } catch (Exception e) {
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215 | }
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216 | }
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217 | final_bid = concede_bid;
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218 | try {
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219 |
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220 | if (utilitySpace.getUtility(final_bid) > CONCEDE_MINIMUM) {
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221 | // System.out.println("Conceded,
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222 | // Utility:"+utilitySpace.getUtility(concede_bid)+" and
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223 | // "+actions_left+" steps to go.");
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224 | return final_bid;
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225 | } else {
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226 | // System.out.println("Average Bid,
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227 | // Utility:"+utilitySpace.getUtility(average_bid)+" and
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228 | // "+actions_left+" steps to go.");
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229 | return average_bid;
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230 | }
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231 | } catch (Exception e) {
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232 | return average_bid;
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233 | }
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234 | }
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235 |
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236 | private Bid generateConcedeBid(BigInteger step, Bid bid,
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237 | ArrayList<Entry<Pair<Integer, Value>, Double>> ordered_pair, int issue_count) {
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238 | for (int i = 0; i < issue_count; i++) {
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239 | // binary split index to steps to include or not (max_index-bits
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240 | // number)
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241 | BigInteger bit = BigInteger.valueOf(2).pow(i);
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242 | if (step.and(bit).equals(bit)) {
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243 | Pair<Integer, Value> pair = ordered_pair.get(i).getKey();
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244 | int issue = pair.getInteger();
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245 | Value value = pair.getValue();
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246 | bid = bid.putValue(issue, value);
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247 | }
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248 | }
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249 | return bid;
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250 | }
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251 |
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252 | private Bid randomWalker() {
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253 | ArrayList<Bid> bids = getHighUtilityBids(MINIMAL_WALKER_UTILITY);
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254 | double rnd = random.nextDouble();
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255 | double[] W = getWeights(bids);
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256 | int index = 0;
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257 | double sum = 0;
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258 | for (int i = 0; i < W.length; i++) { // Sum W until bigger then rnd
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259 | index = i;
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260 | sum += W[i];
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261 | if (sum > rnd) {
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262 | break;
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263 | }
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264 | }
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265 | // System.out.println("Random bid: "+bids.get(index).toString());
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266 | return bids.get(index);
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267 | }
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268 |
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269 | private ArrayList<Bid> getHighUtilityBids(double minimal_utility) {
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270 | if (high_utility_bids == null) { // singleton
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271 | high_utility_bids = new ArrayList<Bid>();
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272 | SortedOutcomeSpace sorted_outcome = new SortedOutcomeSpace(utilitySpace);
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273 | Range r = new Range(minimal_utility, 1.0);
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274 | List<BidDetails> bid_list = sorted_outcome.getBidsinRange(r);
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275 | for (int i = 0; i < bid_list.size(); i++) {
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276 | high_utility_bids.add(bid_list.get(i).getBid());
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277 | }
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278 | }
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279 | return high_utility_bids;
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280 | }
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281 |
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282 | private double[] getWeights(ArrayList<Bid> high_bids_list) {
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283 | int issue_length = high_bids_list.get(0).getIssues().size();
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284 | int datalength = high_bids_list.size();
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285 | // get mean values of the issues
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286 | double[] mean = new double[issue_length];
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287 | for (int i = 0; i < datalength; i++) {
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288 | double[] v = getIssueValues(high_bids_list.get(i));
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289 | for (int j = 0; j < issue_length; j++) {
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290 | mean[j] += v[j];
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291 | }
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292 | }
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293 | // get variance and distance
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294 | double[][] dist = new double[datalength][issue_length];
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295 | double[] sum = new double[issue_length];
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296 | double[] sum_sq = new double[issue_length];
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297 | for (int i = 0; i < datalength; i++) {
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298 | double[] v = getIssueValues(high_bids_list.get(i));
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299 | for (int j = 0; j < issue_length; j++) {
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300 | dist[i][j] = Math.abs(v[j] - mean[j]);
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301 | sum[j] += dist[i][j];
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302 | sum_sq[j] += sum[j] * sum[j];
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303 | }
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304 | }
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305 | double[] var = new double[issue_length];
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306 | double sum_var = 0.0;
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307 | for (int i = 0; i < issue_length; i++) {
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308 | var[i] = (sum_sq[i] - (sum[i] * sum[i] / datalength)) / (datalength - 1);
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309 | sum_var += var[i];
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310 | }
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311 | // normalize variance and distance
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312 | for (int i = 0; i < datalength; i++) {
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313 | for (int j = 0; j < issue_length; j++) {
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314 | dist[i][j] = dist[i][j] / sum[j];
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315 | }
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316 | }
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317 | for (int i = 0; i < issue_length; i++) {
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318 | var[i] = var[i] / sum_var;
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319 | }
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320 |
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321 | // calculate weights for every sample
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322 | double[] W = new double[datalength];
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323 | for (int i = 0; i < datalength; i++) {
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324 | double sample_sum = 0.0;
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325 | for (int j = 0; j < issue_length; j++) {
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326 | sample_sum += dist[i][j] * var[j];
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327 | }
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328 | W[i] = sample_sum;
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329 | }
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330 | return W;
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331 | }
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332 |
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333 | private double[] getIssueValues(Bid b) {
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334 | int size = b.getIssues().size();
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335 | double[] w = new double[size];
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336 | for (int j = 0; j < size; j++) {
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337 | Issue issue = b.getIssues().get(j);
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338 | double eval;
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339 | try {
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340 | Evaluator evaluator = ((AdditiveUtilitySpace) utilitySpace).getEvaluator(issue.getNumber());
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341 | eval = evaluator.getWeight()
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342 | * evaluator.getEvaluation((AdditiveUtilitySpace) utilitySpace, b, issue.getNumber());
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343 | } catch (Exception e) {
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344 | eval = 0.0;
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345 | }
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346 | w[j] = eval;
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347 | }
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348 | return w;
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349 | }
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350 |
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351 | protected AgentID partyId = new AgentID("Group 10");
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352 |
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353 | @Override
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354 | public String getDescription() {
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355 | return "ai2014 group10";
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356 | }
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357 |
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358 | }
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